Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Forecast

Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Fund ETF price down 0.408% on Thursday
(Updated on Apr 18, 2024)

BLV Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 0.500%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Fund ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $68.79 and $71.02. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Fund ETF

Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Fund finds support from accumulated volume at $68.04 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.390 between high and low, or 0.572%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.718%.

Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Fund is oversold on RSI14 (24). Some ETFS may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (BLV) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 19th

For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 19th we expect Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares to open at $68.41, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $67.69 and $69.07, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.694 (+/-1.02%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.03% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $68.04 (0.50%) than the resistance at $71.77 (4.96%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares ETF A Buy?

Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Fund holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF.

Current score: -1.063 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Opening Price for Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares of Friday, April 19, 2024

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.