Vanguard Long-term Bond Index Fund Etf Shares ETF Forecast

Buy candidate since Nov 17, 2025

The Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Fund ETF price gained 0.199% on the last trading day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025), rising from $70.19 to $70.33. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.439% from a day low at $70.19 to a day high of $70.50. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -0.47% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -772 thousand shares and in total, 679 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $47.73 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The ETF lies in the lower part of a narrow and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $70.22 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 3.03% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $72.35 and $75.26 at the end of this 3-month period.

BLV Signals & Forecast

The Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Fund ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $70.63 and $71.27. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some positive signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, November 14, 2025, and so far it has risen 0.199%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, July 25, 2025 in the long-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Fund ETF

Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Fund finds support from accumulated volume at $70.19 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.308 between high and low, or 0.439%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.481%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $66.18 (-5.90%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 1 day ago.)

Trading Expectations (BLV) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares to open at $70.34, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $70.12 and $70.54, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.427 (+/-0.61%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.61% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $70.19 (0.20%) than the resistance at $70.53 (0.28%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares ETF A Buy?

Several of the signals/indicators are negative, and we believe that this will affect on the development for the next days and maybe possible weeks. However, over time, we think that today's level holds a possible buying opportunity and that the price will be higher during or at the end of this 3-month period. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Buy candidate.

Current score: 2.725 Buy Candidate Upgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $70.34 ( 0.0133%).

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