Vanguard Long-term Bond Index Fund Etf Shares ETF Forecast

Sell candidate since Jul 06, 2026 Loss -1.89%

The Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Fund ETF price fell by -0.608% on the last day (Monday, 13th Jul 2026) from $67.48 to $67.07. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.552% from a day low at $67.07 to a day high of $67.44. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -3.47% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -91 thousand shares and in total, 845 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $56.67 million.

The ETF is moving within a narrow and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Fund ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $65.85 and $69.01 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

BLV Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Fund ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $67.71 and $68.43. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, June 29, 2026, and so far it has fallen -3.64%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Fund ETF

Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Fund finds support from accumulated volume at $66.65 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.370 between high and low, or 0.552%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.528%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (BLV) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 14th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 14th we expect Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares to open at $67.19, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $66.85 and $67.29, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.442 (+/-0.66%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.66% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $67.48 (0.61%) than the support at $66.65 (0.63%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares ETF A Buy?

Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Fund holds several negative signals and is within a narrow and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF.

Current score: -2.618 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 14, 2026 - $67.19 ( 0.184%).

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