Vanguard Long-term Bond Index Fund Etf Shares ETF Forecast

Sell candidate since Jun 22, 2026 Gain 0.19%

The Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Fund ETF price gained 0.189% on the last trading day (Tuesday, 23rd Jun 2026), rising from $68.71 to $68.84. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.400% from a day low at $68.70 to a day high of $68.98. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 1.55% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -138 thousand shares and in total, 439 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $30.24 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The ETFis at the upper part of a narrow and horizontal trend and normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but a break-up through the top trend line at $69.07 will give a strong buy signal and a trend shift could be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Fund ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $65.96 and $68.55 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners. Do note, that if the ETF price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

BLV Signals & Forecast

The Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Fund ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $68.79 and $68.25. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, June 18, 2026, and so far it has fallen -0.362%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, July 25, 2025 in the long-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Fund ETF

Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Fund finds support from accumulated volume at $68.78 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.275 between high and low, or 0.400%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.453%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (BLV) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 24th

For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 24th we expect Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares to open at $68.84, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $68.61 and $69.07, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.460 (+/-0.67%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.67% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $68.88 (0.06%) than the support at $68.78 (0.09%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares ETF A Buy?

Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Fund holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this ETF.

Current score: -1.916 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 24, 2026 - $68.84 ( 0.0024%).

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