Vanguard Total World Bond ETF Forecast

Sell candidate since May 12, 2025

The Vanguard Total World Bond ETF price fell by -0.393% on the last day (Monday, 12th May 2025) from $68.62 to $68.35. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.227% from a day low at $68.31 to a day high of $68.47. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -1.19% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 89 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 134 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $9.14 million.

The ETF is at the lower part of a narrow and horizontal trend in the short term, and normally this may pose a good buying opportunity, though a breakdown through the bottom trend line at $68.21 will give a strong sell signal and a trend shift may be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Vanguard Total World Bond ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $68.35 and $69.63 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETF seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETF turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

BNDW Signals & Forecast

Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Vanguard Total World Bond ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $68.66 and $68.70. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, April 30, 2025, and so far it has fallen -1.41%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, June 12, 2024 in the long-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard Total World Bond ETF

Vanguard Total World Bond finds support from accumulated volume at $68.32 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.155 between high and low, or 0.227%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.305%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (BNDW) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 13th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 13th we expect Vanguard Total World Bond ETF to open at $68.38, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $68.08 and $68.62, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.271 (+/-0.40%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard Total World Bond ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.79% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $68.32 (0.04%) than the resistance at $68.63 (0.41%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Vanguard Total World Bond ETF ETF A Buy?

Vanguard Total World Bond holds several negative signals and is within a narrow and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.

Current score: -2.924 Sell Candidate Downgraded

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Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on May 13, 2025 - $68.38 ( 0.0366%).