Vanguard Total World Bond ETF Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Green day on Tuesday for Vanguard Total World Bond
(Updated on Jun 25, 2024)
The Vanguard Total World Bond ETF price gained 0.0146% on the last trading day (Tuesday, 25th Jun 2024), rising from $68.38 to $68.39. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.176% from a day low at $68.33 to a day high of $68.45. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 1.26% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 30 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 70 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $4.78 million.
The ETFis at the upper part of a narrow and horizontal trend and normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but a break-up through the top trend line at $68.50 will give a strong buy signal and a trend shift could be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Vanguard Total World Bond ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $67.57 and $68.83 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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BNDW Signals & Forecast
The Vanguard Total World Bond ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $68.38 and $67.94. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, June 14, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.117%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, May 14, 2024 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Wednesday, June 12, 2024.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Golden Star
The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, May 14, 2024 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Wednesday, June 12, 2024.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Golden Star 12 Months
The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, May 14, 2024 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Wednesday, June 12, 2024.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
A sell signal from a double top formation was found on Friday, June 14, 2024 and based on theory for this formation the price should fall by -3.39% to $66.07 within 21 trading days since signal was issued (Wednesday, July 17, 2024).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard Total World Bond ETF
Vanguard Total World Bond finds support from accumulated volume at $67.99 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.120 between high and low, or 0.176%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.193%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $65.77 (-3.82%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 18 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (BNDW) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 26th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 26th we expect Vanguard Total World Bond ETF to open at $68.39, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $68.16 and $68.62, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.228 (+/-0.33%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard Total World Bond ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.67% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $68.45 (0.09%) than the support at $67.99 (0.58%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Vanguard Total World Bond ETF ETF A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity, as there is a fair chance for Vanguard Total World Bond ETF to perform well in the short-term period.
Current score: 3.208 Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Vanguard Total World Bond ETF of Wednesday, June 26, 2024
| Fair opening price June 26, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $68.39 ( 0%) | $68.39 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for BNDW
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 68.51 | 0.175% |
| R2 | 68.46 | 0.108% |
| R1 | 68.44 | 0.0670% |
| Price | 68.39 | |
| S1 | 68.34 | -0.0670% |
| S2 | 68.32 | -0.108% |
| S3 | 68.27 | -0.175% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 68.61 | 0.322% |
| R2 | 68.47 | 0.117% |
| R1 | 68.45 | 0.0877% |
| Price | 68.39 | |
| S1 | 67.99 | -0.585% |
| S2 | 67.93 | -0.673% |
| S3 | 67.87 | -0.760% |
BNDW Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apr 29, 2024 | May 01, 2024 | May 06, 2024 | $0.165 | 0.243% |
| 2 | Mar 27, 2024 | Apr 01, 2024 | Apr 04, 2024 | $0.167 | 0.244% |
| 3 | Feb 28, 2024 | Mar 01, 2024 | Mar 06, 2024 | $0.156 | 0.228% |
| 4 | Jan 30, 2024 | Feb 01, 2024 | Feb 06, 2024 | $0.160 | 0.234% |
| 5 | Dec 20, 2023 | Dec 22, 2023 | Dec 28, 2023 | $1.02 | 1.47% |
FAQ
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