Boot Barn Holdings Stock Forecast

Buy candidate since Jul 09, 2025 Loss -2.97%

The Boot Barn Holdings Inc stock price fell by -4.09% on the last day (Tuesday, 15th Jul 2025) from $170.46 to $163.48. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.77% from a day low at $162.79 to a day high of $170.55. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 7.55% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 295 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 718 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $117.40 million.

The stock lies in the lower part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $162.08 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 68.12% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $272.49 and $313.13 at the end of this 3-month period.

BOOT Signals & Forecast

The Boot Barn Holdings Inc stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $167.84. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $161.61. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, July 10, 2025, and so far it has fallen -5.70%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Boot Barn Holdings Inc stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $154.97 and $133.30. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Boot Barn Holdings Inc finds support just below today's level at $154.97. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $133.30 and $132.84.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $7.76 between high and low, or 4.77%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.58%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $155.73 (-4.74%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 3 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (BOOT) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 16th

For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 16th we expect Boot Barn Holdings Inc to open at $165.61, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $160.64 and $166.32, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$5.69 (+/-3.54%) up or down from last closing price. If Boot Barn Holdings Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.54% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $166.40 (1.79%) than the support at $154.97 (5.21%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Boot Barn Holdings Inc stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Boot Barn Holdings Inc stock to perform well in the short-term.

Current score: 2.252 Buy Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 16, 2025 - $165.61 ( 1.30%).

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