First Busey Corporation Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
First Busey Corporation stock downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Apr 18, 2024)
The First Busey Corporation stock price fell by -0.183% on the last day (Thursday, 18th Apr 2024) from $21.90 to $21.86. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.25% from a day low at $21.68 to a day high of $21.95. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -5.24% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 10 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 125 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.72 million.
The stock lies in the lower of a falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $21.76 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -5.02% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $20.67 and $22.60 at the end of this 3-month period.
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BUSE Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 0.275%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The First Busey Corporation stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $22.07 and $23.04. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Busey Corporation stock
First Busey Corporation finds support from accumulated volume at $21.80 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.270 between high and low, or 1.25%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.76%.
First Busey Corporation is oversold on RSI14 (18). Some stocks may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (BUSE) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 19th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 19th we expect First Busey Corporation to open at $21.83, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $21.29 and $22.43, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.573 (+/-2.62%) up or down from last closing price. If First Busey Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.24% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $21.80 (0.27%) than the resistance at $22.81 (4.35%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Earnings coming up
First Busey Corporation will release earnings AMC on Tuesday, April 23, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $0.490. We will update the financials statements for First Busey Corporation, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 2.91% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is First Busey Corporation stock A Buy?
First Busey Corporation holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -1.216 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for First Busey Corporation of Friday, April 19, 2024
| Fair opening price April 19, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $21.83 ( 0.137%) | $21.86 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for BUSE
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 22.10 | 1.10 % | |
| R2 | 22.00 | 0.626 % | ||
| R1 | 21.93 | 0.335 % | ||
| Current price: | 21.86 | |||
| Support | S1 | 21.73 | -0.609 % | |
| S2 | 21.66 | -0.90 % | ||
| S3 | 21.56 | -1.37 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 24.46 | 11.89 % | |
| R2 | 24.05 | 10.02 % | ||
| R1 | 22.81 | 4.35 % | ||
| Current price | 21.86 | |||
| Support | S1 | 21.80 | -0.274% | |
| S2 | 0 | . | ||
| S3 | 0 | . |
BUSE Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apr 09, 2024 | Apr 18, 2024 | Apr 26, 2024 | $0.240 | 1.10% |
| 2 | Jan 09, 2024 | Jan 18, 2024 | Jan 26, 2024 | $0.240 | 0.98% |
| 3 | Oct 10, 2023 | Oct 19, 2023 | Oct 27, 2023 | $0.240 | 1.26% |
| 4 | Jul 11, 2023 | Jul 20, 2023 | Jul 28, 2023 | $0.240 | 1.12% |
| 5 | Apr 11, 2023 | Apr 20, 2023 | Apr 28, 2023 | $0.240 | 1.32% |
FAQ
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