First Busey Corporation Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
First Busey Corporation stock upgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Buy Candidate after Tuesday trading session.
(Updated on Jul 02, 2024)
The First Busey Corporation stock price gained 1.60% on the last trading day (Tuesday, 2nd Jul 2024), rising from $23.79 to $24.17. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.68% from a day low at $23.79 to a day high of $24.19. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 7.57% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -122 thousand shares and in total, 100 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.41 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stockis at the upper part of a wide and horizontal trend and normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but a break-up through the top trend line at $24.21 will give a strong buy signal and a trend shift could be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect First Busey Corporation stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $21.80 and $24.21 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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BUSE Signals & Forecast
The First Busey Corporation stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $23.37 and $22.88. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, June 28, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.165%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Busey Corporation stock
First Busey Corporation finds support from accumulated volume at $23.49 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $0.400 (1.68%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.56%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $23.44 (-3.00%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 19 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (BUSE) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 3rd we expect First Busey Corporation to open at $24.05, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $23.66 and $24.68, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.512 (+/-2.12%) up or down from last closing price. If First Busey Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.24% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $24.21 (0.17%) than the support at $23.49 (2.81%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is First Busey Corporation stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity, as there is a fair chance for First Busey Corporation stock to perform well in the short-term period. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 2.027 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for First Busey Corporation of Wednesday, July 3, 2024
Fair opening price July 3, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$24.05 ( 0.496%) | $24.17 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for BUSE
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 24.45 | 1.16% |
R2 | 24.30 | 0.526% |
R1 | 24.20 | 0.136% |
Price | 24.17 | |
S1 | 23.90 | -1.13% |
S2 | 23.80 | -1.52% |
S3 | 23.65 | -2.15% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 0 | - |
R2 | 0 | - |
R1 | 24.21 | 0.165% |
Price | 24.17 | |
S1 | 23.49 | -2.81% |
S2 | 22.59 | -6.54% |
S3 | 22.36 | -7.49% |
BUSE Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Apr 09, 2024 | Apr 18, 2024 | Apr 26, 2024 | $0.240 | 1.05% |
2 | Jan 09, 2024 | Jan 18, 2024 | Jan 26, 2024 | $0.240 | 0.98% |
3 | Oct 10, 2023 | Oct 19, 2023 | Oct 27, 2023 | $0.240 | 1.26% |
4 | Jul 11, 2023 | Jul 20, 2023 | Jul 28, 2023 | $0.240 | 1.12% |
5 | Apr 11, 2023 | Apr 20, 2023 | Apr 28, 2023 | $0.240 | 1.32% |
FAQ
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