Morgan Stanley China A Share Fund Stock Forecast

Hold candidate since Nov 17, 2025

The Morgan Stanley China A Share Fund Inc stock price fell by -2.07% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $16.42 to $16.08. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.62% from a day low at $16.04 to a day high of $16.30. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -4.96% for this period.

Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 12.25% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $18.05 and $19.72 at the end of this 3-month period.

CAF Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Morgan Stanley China A Share Fund Inc stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $16.54 and $16.61. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, October 30, 2025, and so far it has fallen -6.57%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day, which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Morgan Stanley China A Share Fund Inc stock

Morgan Stanley China A Share Fund Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $15.95 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the stock During the last day, the stock moved $0.260 between high and low, or 1.62%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.41%

Our recommended stop-loss: $15.21 (-5.41%) (This stock has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 12 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (CAF) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Morgan Stanley China A Share Fund Inc to open at $16.14, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $15.92 and $16.24, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.312 (+/-1.96%) up or down from last closing price. If Morgan Stanley China A Share Fund Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.96% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $15.95 (0.81%) than the resistance at $16.40 (1.99%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Morgan Stanley China A Share Fund Inc stock A Buy?

Morgan Stanley China A Share Fund Inc holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold candidate.

Current score: -0.718 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $16.14 ( 0.373%).

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