The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Red day on Wednesday for The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated
(Updated on May 08, 2024)
The The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated stock price fell by -0.147% on the last day (Wednesday, 8th May 2024) from $34.02 to $33.97. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.51% from a day low at $33.75 to a day high of $34.26. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -3.77% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 423 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $50.93 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -3.59% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $31.86 and $35.19 at the end of this 3-month period.
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CAKE Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, May 02, 2024, and so far it has risen 1.49%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $34.01 and $34.73. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
A buy signal from a double bottom formation was found on Thursday, May 02, 2024 and based on theory for this formation the price should go up by 10.30% to $37.47 within 14 trading days since signal was issued (Thursday, May 09, 2024).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated stock
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated finds support from accumulated volume at $33.84 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.510 between high and low, or 1.51%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.72%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (CAKE) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 9th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 9th we expect The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated to open at $33.99, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $33.06 and $34.88, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.91 (+/-2.67%) up or down from last closing price. If The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.33% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $33.84 (0.38%) than the resistance at $34.23 (0.77%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated stock A Buy?
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -2.482 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated of Thursday, May 9, 2024
| Fair opening price May 9, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $33.99 ( 0.0687%) | $33.97 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for CAKE
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 34.50 | 1.57 % | |
| R2 | 34.31 | 1.00 % | ||
| R1 | 34.19 | 0.642 % | ||
| Current price: | 33.97 | |||
| Support | S1 | 33.80 | -0.505 % | |
| S2 | 33.68 | -0.86 % | ||
| S3 | 33.48 | -1.43 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 35.85 | 5.53 % | |
| R2 | 35.33 | 4.00 % | ||
| R1 | 34.23 | 0.765 % | ||
| Current price | 33.97 | |||
| Support | S1 | 33.84 | -0.383% | |
| S2 | 33.67 | -0.88% | ||
| S3 | 33.45 | -1.53% |
CAKE Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feb 21, 2024 | Mar 05, 2024 | Mar 19, 2024 | $0.270 | 0.747% |
| 2 | Oct 26, 2023 | Nov 14, 2023 | Nov 28, 2023 | $0.270 | 0.84% |
| 3 | Jul 27, 2023 | Aug 15, 2023 | Aug 29, 2023 | $0.270 | 0.83% |
| 4 | May 10, 2023 | May 23, 2023 | Jun 06, 2023 | $0.270 | 0.82% |
| 5 | Feb 16, 2023 | Mar 07, 2023 | Mar 21, 2023 | $0.270 | 0.783% |
FAQ
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