ConnectOne Bancorp Stock Forecast
Is ConnectOne Bancorp stock still a buy after falling -6.44% on Thursday?
(Updated on Apr 25, 2024)
The ConnectOne Bancorp stock price fell by -6.44% on the last day (Thursday, 25th Apr 2024) from $19.73 to $18.46. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 6.58% from a day low at $18.31 to a day high of $19.52. The price has risen in 8 of the last 10 days and is up by 2.56% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 37 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 158 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.91 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -15.67% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $14.60 and $17.17 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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CNOB Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, April 12, 2024, and so far it has risen 3.36%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The ConnectOne Bancorp stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $18.75 and $18.90. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for ConnectOne Bancorp stock
ConnectOne Bancorp finds support from accumulated volume at $18.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $1.21 between high and low, or 6.58%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.21%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (CNOB) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 26th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 26th we expect ConnectOne Bancorp to open at $18.76, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $17.80 and $19.12, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.661 (+/-3.58%) up or down from last closing price. If ConnectOne Bancorp takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 7.16% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $18.90 (2.38%) than the support at $18.00 (2.49%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is ConnectOne Bancorp stock A Buy?
ConnectOne Bancorp holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -3.721 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for ConnectOne Bancorp of Friday, April 26, 2024
| Fair opening price April 26, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $18.76 ( 1.63%) | $18.46 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for CNOB
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 19.97 | 8.16 % | |
| R2 | 19.51 | 5.67 % | ||
| R1 | 19.22 | 4.13 % | ||
| Current price: | 18.46 | |||
| Support | S1 | 18.30 | -0.86 % | |
| S2 | 18.02 | -2.40 % | ||
| S3 | 17.56 | -4.89 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 20.10 | 8.88 % | |
| R2 | 19.70 | 6.72 % | ||
| R1 | 18.90 | 2.38 % | ||
| Current price | 18.46 | |||
| Support | S1 | 18.00 | -2.49% | |
| S2 | 17.91 | -2.98% | ||
| S3 | 17.86 | -3.25% |
CNOB Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jan 25, 2024 | Feb 14, 2024 | Mar 01, 2024 | $0.170 | 0.86% |
| 2 | Nov 14, 2023 | Nov 14, 2023 | Dec 01, 2023 | $0.170 | 0.81% |
| 3 | Jul 27, 2023 | Aug 14, 2023 | Sep 01, 2023 | $0.170 | 0.87% |
| 4 | Apr 27, 2023 | May 12, 2023 | Jun 01, 2023 | $0.170 | 1.20% |
| 5 | Jan 26, 2023 | Feb 16, 2023 | Mar 01, 2023 | $0.155 | 0.634% |
FAQ
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