Invesco Db Oil Fund ETF Forecast

Buy candidate since Jul 14, 2026 Loss -0.75%

The Invesco DB Oil Fund ETF price fell by -1.54% on the last day (Thursday, 16th Jul 2026) from $20.14 to $19.83. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 2.38% from a day low at $19.74 to a day high of $20.21. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 15.29% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -231 thousand shares and in total, 339 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $6.72 million.

The ETF lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to fall -15.94% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $13.90 and $17.84 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the ETF price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

DBO Signals & Forecast

The Invesco DB Oil Fund ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the ETF, but the ETF has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $19.20 and $19.61. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, July 01, 2026, and so far it has risen 15.29%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Invesco DB Oil Fund ETF

Invesco DB Oil Fund finds support from accumulated volume at $19.13 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This ETF has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.470 between high and low, or 2.38%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 3.65%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $19.10 (-3.70%) (This ETF has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 10 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (DBO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 17th

For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 17th we expect Invesco DB Oil Fund to open at $19.93, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $19.47 and $20.19, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.713 (+/-3.66%) up or down from last closing price. If Invesco DB Oil Fund takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.66% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $19.13 (3.53%) than the resistance at $21.36 (7.72%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Invesco DB Oil Fund ETF A Buy?

Several short-term signals are positive, despite the ETF being in a falling trend, we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for ETF to perform well in the short-term.

Current score: 3.008 Buy Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 17, 2026 - $19.93 ( 0.487%).

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