Invesco Db Oil Fund ETF Forecast

Sell candidate since Jun 09, 2026 Loss -18.16%

The Invesco DB Oil Fund ETF price fell by -3.21% on the last day (Friday, 26th Jun 2026) from $18.07 to $17.49. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 2.12% from a day low at $17.26 to a day high of $17.62. The price has fallen in 8 of the last 10 days and is down by -16.99% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -352 thousand shares and in total, 18 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $320.63 thousand.

Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Invesco DB Oil Fund ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $17.36 and $23.55 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

DBO Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Invesco DB Oil Fund ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $18.24 and $21.13. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, May 19, 2026, and so far it has fallen -26.51%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day, which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this ETF may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Invesco DB Oil Fund ETF

There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the ETF may perform very badly in the next couple of days.

This ETF may move much during the day (volatility) and with periodic low trading volume this ETF is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the ETF moved $0.365 between high and low, or 2.12%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 2.23%.

Invesco DB Oil Fund is oversold on RSI14 (22). Some ETFS may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (DBO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect Invesco DB Oil Fund to open at $17.46, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $17.10 and $17.88, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.784 (+/-4.59%) up or down from last closing price. If Invesco DB Oil Fund takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.59% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $19.03, some $1.54 (8.81%) from the current price of $17.49, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.

Is Invesco DB Oil Fund ETF A Buy?

Invesco DB Oil Fund holds several negative signals and is within a very wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF.

Current score: -3.573 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 29, 2026 - $17.46 ( 0.200%).

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