Invesco Db Oil Fund ETF Forecast

Sell candidate since Jun 05, 2026

The Invesco DB Oil Fund ETF price fell by -2.05% on the last day (Friday, 5th Jun 2026) from $21.94 to $21.49. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.92% from a day low at $21.34 to a day high of $21.75. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -5.79% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 63 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 608 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $13.08 million.

The ETF lies in the lower part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $20.96 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 16.07% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $24.32 and $28.37 at the end of this 3-month period.

DBO Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Invesco DB Oil Fund ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $21.77 and $21.83. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, May 19, 2026, and so far it has fallen -9.71%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Invesco DB Oil Fund ETF

On the downside, the ETF finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $19.65 and $18.53. There is a natural risk involved when a ETF is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the ETF then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Invesco DB Oil Fund finds support just below today's level at $19.65. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $18.53 and $17.97.

This ETF has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.410 between high and low, or 1.92%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.92%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (DBO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 8th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 8th we expect Invesco DB Oil Fund to open at $21.53, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $21.09 and $21.89, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.790 (+/-3.75%) up or down from last closing price. If Invesco DB Oil Fund takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.75% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $22.06 (2.65%) than the support at $19.65 (8.56%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Invesco DB Oil Fund ETF A Buy?

The Invesco DB Oil Fund ETF holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Invesco DB Oil Fund will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.

Current score: -4.321 Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 8, 2026 - $21.53 ( 0.171%).

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