iShares Select Dividend ETF Forecast
Evaluation of iShares Select Dividend ETF downgraded after the last trading session.
(Updated on Apr 22, 2024)
The iShares Select Dividend ETF price gained 0.82% on the last trading day (Monday, 22nd Apr 2024), rising from $118.70 to $119.67. It has now gained 4 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.53% from a day low at $118.38 to a day high of $120.19. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -1.78% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -199 thousand shares and in total, 366 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $43.80 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The ETF lies in the middle of a weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 5.13% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $122.09 and $131.16 at the end of this 3-month period.
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DVY Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the ETF today. The iShares Select Dividend ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $119.75. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the short-term average at $117.38. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 3.40%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for iShares Select Dividend ETF
iShares Select Dividend finds support from accumulated volume at $119.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $1.81 between high and low, or 1.53%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.20%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (DVY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 23rd
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 23rd we expect iShares Select Dividend ETF to open at $119.41, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $118.14 and $121.20, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.53 (+/-1.28%) up or down from last closing price. If iShares Select Dividend ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.55% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $120.15 (0.40%) than the support at $119.00 (0.56%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is iShares Select Dividend ETF ETF A Buy?
iShares Select Dividend holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -1.392 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for iShares Select Dividend ETF of Tuesday, April 23, 2024
Fair opening price April 23, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$119.41 ( 0.215%) | $119.67 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for DVY
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 121.22 | 1.30 % | |
R2 | 120.53 | 0.720 % | ||
R1 | 120.10 | 0.363 % | ||
Current price: | 119.67 | |||
Support | S1 | 118.72 | -0.792 % | |
S2 | 118.29 | -1.15 % | ||
S3 | 117.60 | -1.73 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 123.18 | 2.93 % | |
R2 | 122.44 | 2.31 % | ||
R1 | 120.15 | 0.401 % | ||
Current price | 119.67 | |||
Support | S1 | 119.00 | -0.560% | |
S2 | 118.14 | -1.28% | ||
S3 | 116.79 | -2.41% |
DVY Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 21, 2024 | Mar 21, 2024 | Mar 27, 2024 | $1.00 | 0.81% |
2 | Dec 19, 2023 | Dec 20, 2023 | Dec 27, 2023 | $1.19 | 1.01% |
3 | Sep 25, 2023 | Sep 26, 2023 | Oct 02, 2023 | $1.47 | 1.39% |
4 | Jun 06, 2023 | Jun 07, 2023 | Jun 13, 2023 | $0.82 | 0.719% |
5 | Mar 22, 2023 | Mar 23, 2023 | Mar 29, 2023 | $1.01 | 0.87% |
FAQ
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