Ecopetrol SA Stock Forecast
Green day on Tuesday for Ecopetrol SA stock after gaining 0.360%
(Updated on Jul 02, 2024)
The Ecopetrol SA stock price gained 0.360% on the last trading day (Tuesday, 2nd Jul 2024), rising from $11.10 to $11.14. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.58% from a day low at $11.05 to a day high of $11.23. The price has risen in 5 of the last 10 days but is still down by -5.75% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -260 thousand shares and in total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $22.38 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock is at the lower part of a wide and horizontal trend in the short term, and normally this may pose a good buying opportunity, though a breakdown through the bottom trend line at $11.10 will give a strong sell signal and a trend shift may be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Ecopetrol SA stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $10.97 and $12.51 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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EC Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, July 01, 2024, and so far it has risen 0.360%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Ecopetrol SA stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $11.37 and $11.90. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Ecopetrol SA stock
Ecopetrol SA finds support from accumulated volume at $11.10 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.175 between high and low, or 1.58%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.75%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (EC) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 3rd we expect Ecopetrol SA to open at $11.14, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $10.81 and $11.47, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.334 (+/-2.99%) up or down from last closing price. If Ecopetrol SA takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.99% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $11.17 (0.27%) than the support at $11.10 (0.36%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Ecopetrol SA stock A Buy?
Ecopetrol SA holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -2.398 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Ecopetrol SA of Wednesday, July 3, 2024
| Fair opening price July 3, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $11.14 ( 0.0150%) | $11.14 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for EC
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 11.31 | 1.56% |
| R2 | 11.25 | 0.96% |
| R1 | 11.21 | 0.585% |
| Price | 11.14 | |
| S1 | 11.07 | -0.615% |
| S2 | 11.03 | -0.99% |
| S3 | 10.96 | -1.59% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 12.67 | 13.73% |
| R2 | 12.30 | 10.41% |
| R1 | 11.17 | 0.269% |
| Price | 11.14 | |
| S1 | 11.10 | -0.359% |
| S2 | 0 | - |
| S3 | 0 | - |
EC Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 25, 2024 | Jun 25, 2024 | Jul 03, 2024 | $0.800 | 7.17% |
| 2 | Jun 24, 2024 | Jun 24, 2024 | Jul 03, 2024 | $0.800 | 7.17% |
| 3 | Mar 26, 2024 | Apr 04, 2024 | Apr 10, 2024 | $0.800 | 6.76% |
| 4 | Mar 08, 2023 | Dec 19, 2023 | Dec 29, 2023 | $0.83 | 6.96% |
| 5 | Mar 08, 2023 | Sep 26, 2023 | Dec 29, 2023 | $0.83 | 6.94% |
FAQ
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