Ecopetrol SA Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Ecopetrol SA stock downgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Sell Candidate after Friday trading session.
(Updated on May 03, 2024)
No changes to the price of Ecopetrol SA stock on the last trading day (Friday, 3rd May 2024). During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.13% from a day low at $11.49 to a day high of $11.62. The price has risen in 5 of the last 10 days and is up by 0.26% over the past 2 weeks.
The stock is moving within a wide and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Ecopetrol SA stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $10.70 and $13.06 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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EC Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Ecopetrol SA stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $11.68 and $11.61. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, April 29, 2024, and so far it has fallen -4.31%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day while price remained unchanged. This may be an early warning, but it may also not. We still recommend that you pay attention over the next couple of days.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Ecopetrol SA stock
Ecopetrol SA finds support from accumulated volume at $11.36 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $0.130 (1.13%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.20%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (EC) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect Ecopetrol SA to open at $11.55, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $11.25 and $11.83, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.292 (+/-2.53%) up or down from last closing price. If Ecopetrol SA takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.07% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $11.70 (1.39%) than the support at $11.36 (1.56%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Ecopetrol SA stock A Buy?
Ecopetrol SA holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -1.703 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Ecopetrol SA of Monday, May 6, 2024
Fair opening price May 6, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$11.55 ( 0.0867%) | $11.54 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for EC
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 11.68 | 1.21 % | |
R2 | 11.63 | 0.783 % | ||
R1 | 11.60 | 0.517 % | ||
Current price: | 11.54 | |||
Support | S1 | 11.50 | -0.344 % | |
S2 | 11.47 | -0.610 % | ||
S3 | 11.42 | -1.04 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 12.13 | 5.11 % | |
R2 | 11.84 | 2.60 % | ||
R1 | 11.70 | 1.39 % | ||
Current price | 11.54 | |||
Support | S1 | 11.36 | -1.56% | |
S2 | 11.03 | -4.42% | ||
S3 | 10.77 | -6.67% |
EC Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jun 25, 2024 | Jun 25, 2024 | Jul 03, 2024 | $0.800 | 6.93% |
2 | Jun 24, 2024 | Jun 24, 2024 | Jul 03, 2024 | $0.800 | 6.93% |
3 | Mar 26, 2024 | Apr 04, 2024 | Apr 10, 2024 | $0.800 | 6.76% |
4 | Mar 08, 2023 | Dec 19, 2023 | Dec 29, 2023 | $0.83 | 6.96% |
5 | Mar 08, 2023 | Sep 26, 2023 | Dec 29, 2023 | $0.83 | 6.94% |
FAQ
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