Ecopetrol Sa Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jul 09, 2026 Gain 1.23%

The Ecopetrol SA stock price gained 1.23% on the last trading day (Friday, 10th Jul 2026), rising from $15.39 to $15.58. It has now gained 4 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.56% from a day low at $15.16 to a day high of $15.70. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 7.82% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -25 thousand shares and in total, 3 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $40.89 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The stock lies in the middle of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 14.68% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $16.22 and $19.59 at the end of this 3-month period.

EC Signals & Forecast

The Ecopetrol SA stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the stock has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $14.92 and $15.20. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, June 18, 2026, and so far it has fallen -6.03%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Ecopetrol SA stock

Ecopetrol SA finds support from accumulated volume at $14.86 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.540 between high and low, or 3.56%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.55%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $14.89 (-4.44%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 14 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (EC) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 13th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 13th we expect Ecopetrol SA to open at $15.48, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $15.25 and $15.91, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.665 (+/-4.36%) up or down from last closing price. If Ecopetrol SA takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.36% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $15.79 (1.35%) than the support at $14.86 (4.62%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Ecopetrol SA stock A Buy?

Ecopetrol SA holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.

Current score: 0.562 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 13, 2026 - $15.48 ( 0.642%).

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