Ecopetrol Sa Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since May 19, 2026 Gain 15.99%

The Ecopetrol SA stock price fell by -1.99% on the last day (Monday, 22nd Jun 2026) from $16.58 to $16.25. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 12.70% from a day low at $15.75 to a day high of $17.75. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 7.26% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 3 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 9 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $138.45 million.

The stock lies in the upper part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $16.60 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 10.08% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $14.70 and $18.28 at the end of this 3-month period.

EC Signals & Forecast

There are mixed signals in the stock today. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, June 18, 2026, and so far it has fallen -1.99%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely. The Ecopetrol SA stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $16.12 and $14.67. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Ecopetrol SA stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $14.98 and $14.92. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Ecopetrol SA finds support just below today's level at $14.98. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $14.92 and $14.86.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $2.00 between high and low, or 12.70%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 6.62%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $15.64 (-3.76%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)

Trading Expectations (EC) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 23rd

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 23rd we expect Ecopetrol SA to open at $16.58, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $15.85 and $16.65, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.794 (+/-5.01%) up or down from last closing price. If Ecopetrol SA takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.01% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $16.26 (0.06%) than the support at $14.98 (7.82%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Ecopetrol SA stock A Buy?

Ecopetrol SA holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.

Current score: 0.525 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 23, 2026 - $16.58 ( 2.05%).

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