Estee Lauder Companies (the) Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Nov 17, 2025

The Estee Lauder Companies Inc (The) stock price fell by -2.37% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $88.18 to $86.09. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.41% from a day low at $85.68 to a day high of $88.60. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -7.68% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 1 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 3 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $295.82 million.

Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 6.31% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $91.53 and $111.05 at the end of this 3-month period.

EL Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Estee Lauder Companies Inc (The) stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $89.21 and $93.49. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, October 20, 2025, and so far it has fallen -16.03%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Estee Lauder Companies Inc (The) stock

Estee Lauder Companies Inc (The) finds support from accumulated volume at $85.33 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $2.93 between high and low, or 3.41%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.95%.

Estee Lauder Companies Inc (The) is oversold on RSI14 (21). Some stock may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (EL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Estee Lauder Companies Inc (The) to open at $86.79, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $84.46 and $87.72, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$3.27 (+/-3.87%) up or down from last closing price. If Estee Lauder Companies Inc (The) takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.87% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $86.57 (0.56%) than the support at $85.33 (0.88%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Dividend Warning For EL

Dividend coming up for EL: Ex-dividend date (Friday 28th November, 2025) is 9 days away. The dividend is $0.350.

Is Estee Lauder Companies Inc (The) stock A Buy?

The Estee Lauder Companies Inc (The) stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Estee Lauder Companies Inc (The) will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.

Current score: -1.034 Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $86.79 ( 0.81%).

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