Red day on Friday for Erie Indemnity Company
(Updated on Dec 08, 2023)
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The stockis at the upper part of a wide and horizontal trend and normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but a break-up through the top trend line at $309.54 will give a strong buy signal and a trend shift could be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Erie Indemnity Company stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $268.15 and $305.74 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
ERIE Signals & Forecast
The Erie Indemnity Company stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $302.28 and $287.94. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, December 07, 2023, and so far it has fallen -0.0882%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
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Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Erie Indemnity Company stock
Erie Indemnity Company finds support from accumulated volume at $294.34 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $5.19 between high and low, or 1.72%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.66%.
The Erie Indemnity Company stock is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some stocks may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs.
Our recommended stop-loss: $295.19 (-3.45%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 79 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (ERIE) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 11th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 11th we expect Erie Indemnity Company to open at $305.20, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $299.06 and $312.44, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$6.69 (+/-2.19%) up or down from last closing price. If Erie Indemnity Company takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.38% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $306.69 (0.31%) than the support at $294.34 (3.73%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Erie Indemnity Company stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity, as there is a fair chance for Erie Indemnity Company stock to perform well in the short-term period.
Current score: 1.485 Open Broker AccountBuy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Erie Indemnity Company of Monday, December 11, 2023
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
|Fair opening price December 11, 2023||Current price|
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Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
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