Erie Indemnity Company Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Apr 21, 2025 Loss -8.43%

The Erie Indemnity Company stock price fell by -11.47% on the last day (Friday, 25th Apr 2025) from $408.73 to $361.85. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 10.44% from a day low at $350.61 to a day high of $387.22. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -12.78% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 201 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 326 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $117.90 million.

The stock has broken the wide and horizontal trend down. Breaks like this are often followed by swift and strong movements, and any correction down to the breakline at approximately $381.68 is considered to be a "second chance" to get out before further fall. It is, however, important to note that false breaks may appear and that the price may move back into the horizontal trend. A break on increasing volume is considered to be more significant and reliable than breaks on low volume.

ERIE Signals & Forecast

Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Erie Indemnity Company stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $400.79 and $413.26. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, April 14, 2025, and so far it has fallen -14.64%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Erie Indemnity Company stock

There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $36.61 between high and low, or 10.44%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.16%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (ERIE) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 28th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 28th we expect Erie Indemnity Company to open at $366.56, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $345.40 and $378.30, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$16.45 (+/-4.55%) up or down from last closing price. If Erie Indemnity Company takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 9.09% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $396.57, some $34.72 (9.60%) from the current price of $361.85, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.

Is Erie Indemnity Company stock A Buy?

Erie Indemnity Company holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Current score: -2.881 Sell Candidate Unchanged

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Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on April 28, 2025 - $366.56 ( 1.30%).