Erie Indemnity Company Stock Forecast
Erie Indemnity Company stock upgraded to Hold/Accumulate.
(Updated on Jul 02, 2024)
The Erie Indemnity Company stock price gained 0.615% on the last trading day (Tuesday, 2nd Jul 2024), rising from $364.30 to $366.54. It has now gained 4 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.21% from a day low at $363.06 to a day high of $367.47. The price has risen in 8 of the last 10 days and is up by 3.12% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -6 thousand shares and in total, 48 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $17.63 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -9.40% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $310.47 and $350.79 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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ERIE Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, June 14, 2024, and so far it has risen 4.78%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Erie Indemnity Company stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $370.26. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $363.23. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Erie Indemnity Company stock
Erie Indemnity Company finds support from accumulated volume at $365.82 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $4.40 between high and low, or 1.21%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.61%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $353.09 (-3.67%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 36 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (ERIE) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 3rd we expect Erie Indemnity Company to open at $365.69, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $359.55 and $373.53, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$6.99 (+/-1.91%) up or down from last closing price. If Erie Indemnity Company takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.81% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $365.82 (0.20%) than the resistance at $382.66 (4.40%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Erie Indemnity Company stock A Buy?
Erie Indemnity Company holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.762 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Erie Indemnity Company of Wednesday, July 3, 2024
| Fair opening price July 3, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $365.69 ( 0.232%) | $366.54 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for ERIE
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 370.09 | 0.97% |
| R2 | 368.41 | 0.510% |
| R1 | 367.37 | 0.227% |
| Price | 366.54 | |
| S1 | 364.01 | -0.691% |
| S2 | 362.97 | -0.98% |
| S3 | 361.28 | -1.43% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 405.44 | 10.61% |
| R2 | 394.17 | 7.54% |
| R1 | 382.66 | 4.40% |
| Price | 366.54 | |
| S1 | 365.82 | -0.196% |
| S2 | 362.43 | -1.12% |
| S3 | 359.01 | -2.05% |
ERIE Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apr 23, 2024 | Jul 09, 2024 | Jul 23, 2024 | $1.28 | 0.349% |
| 2 | Apr 23, 2024 | Jul 08, 2024 | Jul 23, 2024 | $1.28 | 0.349% |
| 3 | Feb 22, 2024 | Apr 08, 2024 | Apr 23, 2024 | $1.28 | 0.332% |
| 4 | Dec 05, 2023 | Jan 05, 2024 | Jan 23, 2024 | $1.28 | 0.377% |
| 5 | Jul 25, 2023 | Oct 04, 2023 | Oct 20, 2023 | $1.19 | 0.397% |
FAQ
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