Etsy Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Apr 22, 2025 Loss -0.30%

The Etsy stock price fell by -0.305% on the last day (Wednesday, 23rd Apr 2025) from $45.93 to $45.79. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.25% from a day low at $45.75 to a day high of $47.24. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 12.23% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -2 million shares and in total, 3 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $137.29 million.

The stock lies the upper part of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at $47.53 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -21.78% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $30.22 and $37.18 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

ETSY Signals & Forecast

The Etsy stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the stock has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $44.30 and $45.67. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 08, 2025, and so far it has risen 12.23%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Etsy stock

Etsy finds support from accumulated volume at $45.11 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $1.49 between high and low, or 3.25%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.21%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $43.84 (-4.26%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 10 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (ETSY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 24th

For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 24th we expect Etsy to open at $46.26, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $43.44 and $48.14, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.35 (+/-5.13%) up or down from last closing price. If Etsy takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 10.27% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $45.11 (1.49%) than the resistance at $48.65 (6.25%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Etsy stock A Buy?

Etsy holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.

Current score: 0.074 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Ready to grow your portfolio? Here's your beginner's guide to opening a free brokerage account.

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on April 24, 2025 - $46.26 ( 1.02%).