First Bancorp Stock Forecast
Red day on Wednesday for First Bancorp
(Updated on Apr 17, 2024)
The First Bancorp stock price fell by -0.83% on the last day (Wednesday, 17th Apr 2024) from $31.24 to $30.98. It has now fallen 6 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.61% from a day low at $30.87 to a day high of $31.68. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -8.78% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 32 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 153 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $4.75 million.
The stock has broken the falling short-term trend down. Firstly a stronger fallrate is indicated, but false breaks and "sell-off" may occur. However, a further fall is realistic and any reactions back to the breaking point ($32.51) are considered to be a "second chance" to get out. According to the fan-theory $29.29 will represent the new bottom line of the next trend, but it is far too early to say this for certain.
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FBNC Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The First Bancorp stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $32.28 and $34.07. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, March 28, 2024, and so far it has fallen -14.23%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Bancorp stock
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.81 between high and low, or 2.61%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.35%.
First Bancorp is oversold on RSI14 (13). Some stocks may fall long and hard while being oversold on RSI, but stocks that are heavily oversold on RSI often pose good re-bounce chance and played well it can be a buy candidate.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (FBNC) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 18th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 18th we expect First Bancorp to open at $31.18, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $29.99 and $31.97, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.99 (+/-3.19%) up or down from last closing price. If First Bancorp takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.39% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $34.06, some $3.08 (9.94%) from the current price of $30.98, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Earnings coming up
First Bancorp will release earnings BMO on Wednesday, April 24, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $0.640. We will update the financials statements for First Bancorp, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 2.86% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is First Bancorp stock A Buy?
First Bancorp holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -4.375 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for First Bancorp of Thursday, April 18, 2024
| Fair opening price April 18, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $31.18 ( 0.629%) | $30.98 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for FBNC
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 31.98 | 3.23 % | |
| R2 | 31.67 | 2.24 % | ||
| R1 | 31.48 | 1.62 % | ||
| Current price: | 30.98 | |||
| Support | S1 | 30.87 | -0.363 % | |
| S2 | 30.68 | -0.98 % | ||
| S3 | 30.37 | -1.97 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 35.37 | 14.17 % | |
| R2 | 34.53 | 11.46 % | ||
| R1 | 34.06 | 9.94 % | ||
| Current price | 30.98 | |||
| Support | S1 | 0 | . | |
| S2 | 0 | . | ||
| S3 | 0 | . |
FBNC Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 27, 2024 | Mar 27, 2024 | Apr 25, 2024 | $0.220 | 0.710% |
| 2 | Dec 15, 2023 | Dec 28, 2023 | Jan 25, 2024 | $0.220 | 0.634% |
| 3 | Sep 15, 2023 | Sep 28, 2023 | Oct 25, 2023 | $0.220 | 0.82% |
| 4 | Apr 25, 2023 | Jun 29, 2023 | Jul 25, 2023 | $0.220 | 0.641% |
| 5 | Jan 24, 2023 | Mar 30, 2023 | Apr 25, 2023 | $0.220 | 0.694% |
FAQ
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