FedEx Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
FedEx stock upgraded from Sell Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Tuesday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 30, 2024)
The FedEx stock price fell by -1.53% on the last day (Tuesday, 30th Apr 2024) from $265.86 to $261.78. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.27% from a day low at $261.66 to a day high of $264.97. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -1.19% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 70 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 812 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $212.51 million.
Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 15.54% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $302.46 and $351.54 at the end of this 3-month period.
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FDX Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The FedEx stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $266.71 and $269.24. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, March 28, 2024, and so far it has fallen -9.65%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for FedEx stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $241.95 and $241.29. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, FedEx finds support just below today's level at $241.95. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $241.29 and $238.31.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $3.31 between high and low, or 1.27%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.72%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $252.18 (-3.67%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 22 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (FDX) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 1st
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 1st we expect FedEx Corporation to open at $262.80, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $256.82 and $266.74, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$4.96 (+/-1.90%) up or down from last closing price. If FedEx Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.79% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $264.85 (1.17%) than the support at $241.95 (7.58%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is FedEx Corporation stock A Buy?
FedEx holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.031 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for FedEx Corporation of Wednesday, May 1, 2024
| Fair opening price May 1, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $262.80 ( 0.391%) | $261.78 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for FDX
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 266.11 | 1.66 % | |
| R2 | 264.85 | 1.17 % | ||
| R1 | 264.07 | 0.87 % | ||
| Current price: | 261.78 | |||
| Support | S1 | 261.54 | -0.0921 % | |
| S2 | 260.76 | -0.390 % | ||
| S3 | 259.49 | -0.87 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 288.99 | 10.39 % | |
| R2 | 284.32 | 8.61 % | ||
| R1 | 264.85 | 1.17 % | ||
| Current price | 261.78 | |||
| Support | S1 | 241.95 | -7.58% | |
| S2 | 241.29 | -7.83% | ||
| S3 | 238.31 | -8.97% |
FDX Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feb 16, 2024 | Mar 08, 2024 | Apr 01, 2024 | $1.26 | 0.450% |
| 2 | Dec 08, 2023 | Dec 08, 2023 | Jan 02, 2024 | $1.26 | 0.500% |
| 3 | Aug 18, 2023 | Sep 08, 2023 | Oct 02, 2023 | $1.26 | 0.475% |
| 4 | Apr 05, 2023 | Jun 09, 2023 | Jul 03, 2023 | $1.26 | 0.509% |
| 5 | Feb 17, 2023 | Mar 10, 2023 | Apr 03, 2023 | $1.15 | 0.503% |
FAQ
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