Fedex Stock Forecast

Buy candidate since Jun 20, 2025

The FedEx stock price gained 1.23% on the last trading day (Friday, 20th Jun 2025), rising from $223.30 to $226.04. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.11% from a day low at $224.19 to a day high of $226.68. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 4.3% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 720 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $505.66 million.

The stockis at the upper part of a wide and horizontal trend and normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but a break-up through the top trend line at $231.45 will give a strong buy signal and a trend shift could be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect FedEx stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $192.44 and $228.06 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stock seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stock turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

FDX Signals & Forecast

The FedEx stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $224.57 and $221.69. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, May 12, 2025, and so far it has fallen -2.97%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for FedEx stock

FedEx finds support from accumulated volume at $217.94 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $2.49 between high and low, or 1.11%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.56%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $216.60 (-4.18%) (This stock has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 27 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (FDX) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 23rd

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 23rd we expect FedEx Corporation to open at $225.64, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $221.33 and $230.75, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$4.71 (+/-2.08%) up or down from last closing price. If FedEx Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.16% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $230.33 (1.90%) than the support at $217.94 (3.58%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Dividend Warning For FDX

Dividend warning for FDX: Ex-dividend date is approaching in 1 day on Monday 23rd June, 2025. The dividend to be paid is $1.45, which is a small dividend (0.641%). The stock is expected to open approximately 0.641% lower on the ex-dividend date.

Is FedEx Corporation stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity, as there is a fair chance for FedEx stock to perform well in the short-term period. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Buy candidate.

Current score: 1.053 Buy Candidate Upgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 23, 2025 - $225.64 ( 0.178%).

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