FIRST TRUST MID CAP VALUE ALPHADEX FUND ETF Forecast
FIRST TRUST MID CAP VALUE ALPHADEX FUND ETF price ended at $50.27 on Friday, after losing 1.69%.
(Updated on Jun 14, 2024)
The FIRST TRUST MID CAP VALUE ALPHADEX FUND ETF price fell by -1.69% on the last day (Friday, 14th Jun 2024) from $51.14 to $50.27. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.38% from a day low at $50.06 to a day high of $50.75. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -5.08% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -4 thousand shares and in total, 9 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $459.10 thousand.
The ETF is at the lower part of a horizontal trend in the short term, and normally this may pose a good buying opportunity, though a breakdown through the bottom trend line at $49.79 will give a strong sell signal and a trend shift may be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect FIRST TRUST MID CAP VALUE ALPHADEX FUND ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $49.38 and $53.32 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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FNK Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The FIRST TRUST MID CAP VALUE ALPHADEX FUND ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $51.26 and $52.20. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, May 15, 2024, and so far it has fallen -6.52%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day, which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this ETF may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for FIRST TRUST MID CAP VALUE ALPHADEX FUND ETF
FIRST TRUST MID CAP VALUE ALPHADEX FUND finds support from accumulated volume at $50.10 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the ETF During the last day, the ETF moved $0.690 between high and low, or 1.38%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.13%
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (FNK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 17th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 17th we expect FIRST TRUST MID CAP VALUE ALPHADEX FUND to open at $50.36, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $49.63 and $50.92, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.645 (+/-1.28%) up or down from last closing price. If FIRST TRUST MID CAP VALUE ALPHADEX FUND takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.57% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $50.10 (0.35%) than the resistance at $50.71 (0.87%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is FIRST TRUST MID CAP VALUE ALPHADEX FUND ETF A Buy?
FIRST TRUST MID CAP VALUE ALPHADEX FUND holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF.
Current score: -2.940 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for FIRST TRUST MID CAP VALUE ALPHADEX FUND of Monday, June 17, 2024
| Fair opening price June 17, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $50.36 ( 0.174%) | $50.27 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for FNK
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 51.05 | 1.55% |
| R2 | 50.79 | 1.02% |
| R1 | 50.62 | 0.698% |
| Price | 50.27 | |
| S1 | 50.10 | -0.351% |
| S2 | 49.93 | -0.675% |
| S3 | 49.67 | -1.20% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 52.52 | 4.47% |
| R2 | 51.79 | 3.02% |
| R1 | 50.71 | 0.87% |
| Price | 50.27 | |
| S1 | 50.10 | -0.349% |
| S2 | 50.09 | -0.374% |
| S3 | 0 | - |
FNK Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 21, 2024 | Mar 21, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | $0.114 | 0.210% |
| 2 | Dec 22, 2023 | Dec 22, 2023 | Dec 29, 2023 | $0.349 | 0.685% |
| 3 | Sep 21, 2023 | Sep 22, 2023 | Sep 29, 2023 | $0.212 | 0.475% |
| 4 | Jun 26, 2023 | Jun 27, 2023 | Jun 30, 2023 | $0.183 | 0.400% |
| 5 | Mar 23, 2023 | Mar 24, 2023 | Mar 31, 2023 | $0.155 | 0.355% |
FAQ
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