First Trust Indxx Global Natural ETF Forecast
Weaker technical forecast for First Trust Indxx Global Natural as ETF downgraded to Hold/Accumulate.
(Updated on Mar 18, 2024)
The First Trust Indxx Global Natural ETF price fell by -0.272% on the last day (Monday, 18th Mar 2024) from $12.85 to $12.81. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.548% from a day low at $12.78 to a day high of $12.85. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 2.18% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 742 shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 90 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.16 million.
The ETF lies the upper part of a falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at $12.84 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to fall -2.74% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $11.42 and $12.49 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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FTRI Signals & Forecast
The First Trust Indxx Global Natural ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $12.78 and $12.51. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, March 13, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.372%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. First Trust Indxx Global Natural gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Trust Indxx Global Natural ETF
First Trust Indxx Global Natural finds support from accumulated volume at $12.80 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.0700 between high and low, or 0.548%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.12%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $12.44 (-2.91%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 3 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (FTRI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 19th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 19th we expect First Trust Indxx Global Natural Resources Income ETF to open at $12.81, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $12.65 and $12.97, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.157 (+/-1.22%) up or down from last closing price. If First Trust Indxx Global Natural Resources Income ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.45% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $12.80 (0.08%) than the resistance at $12.86 (0.37%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is First Trust Indxx Global Natural Resources Income ETF ETF A Buy?
First Trust Indxx Global Natural holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.260 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for First Trust Indxx Global Natural Resources Income ETF of Tuesday, March 19, 2024
Fair opening price March 19, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$12.81 ( 0.0260%) | $12.81 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for FTRI
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 12.88 | 0.572 % | |
R2 | 12.86 | 0.364 % | ||
R1 | 12.84 | 0.235 % | ||
Current price: | 12.81 | |||
Support | S1 | 12.79 | -0.183 % | |
S2 | 12.77 | -0.312 % | ||
S3 | 12.74 | -0.520 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 13.21 | 3.12 % | |
R2 | 13.13 | 2.50 % | ||
R1 | 12.86 | 0.373 % | ||
Current price | 12.81 | |||
Support | S1 | 12.80 | -0.0781% | |
S2 | 12.54 | -2.14% | ||
S3 | 12.07 | -5.74% |
FTRI Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Dec 22, 2023 | Dec 22, 2023 | Dec 29, 2023 | $0.265 | 2.04% |
2 | Sep 21, 2023 | Sep 22, 2023 | Sep 29, 2023 | $0.154 | 1.22% |
3 | Jun 26, 2023 | Jun 27, 2023 | Jun 30, 2023 | $0.279 | 2.22% |
4 | Mar 23, 2023 | Mar 24, 2023 | Mar 31, 2023 | $0.157 | 1.18% |
5 | Dec 22, 2022 | Dec 23, 2022 | Dec 30, 2022 | $0.186 | 1.36% |
FAQ
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