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Weaker technical forecast for First National Corporation as stock downgraded to Hold/Accumulate
(Updated on Nov 17, 2025)
The First National Corporation stock price fell by -2.69% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $24.15 to $23.50. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.48% from a day low at $23.23 to a day high of $24.27. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 4.54% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -10 thousand shares and in total, 15 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $353.89 thousand.
The stock is moving within a wide and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect First National Corporation stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $21.30 and $23.77 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stock seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stock turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
FXNC Signals & Forecast
The First National Corporation stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $23.56. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $22.66. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, November 14, 2025, and so far it has fallen -2.69%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day, which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First National Corporation stock
First National Corporation finds support from accumulated volume at $23.46 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day, but be aware of low or falling volume as this increases the risk. During the last day, the stock moved $1.04 between high and low, or 4.48%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.45%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $22.39 (-4.74%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (FXNC) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect First National Corporation to open at $23.67, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $23.24 and $23.76, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.524 (+/-2.26%) up or down from last closing price. If First National Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.26% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $23.46 (0.17%) than the resistance at $23.59 (0.38%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Dividend Warning For FXNC
Dividend coming up for FXNC: Ex-dividend date (Friday 28th November, 2025) is 9 days away. The dividend is $0.170.Is First National Corporation stock A Buy?
First National Corporation holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.
Current score:
-0.032
Hold/Accumulate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $23.67 ( 0.710%).
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FXNC Performance
Trading levels for FXNC
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 24.71 | 5.14% |
| R2 | 24.31 | 3.45% |
| R1 | 24.06 | 2.40% |
| Price | 23.50 | |
| S1 | 23.27 | -0.98% |
| S2 | 23.02 | -2.03% |
| S3 | 22.63 | -3.72% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 24.15 | 2.77% |
| R2 | 23.90 | 1.70% |
| R1 | 23.59 | 0.383% |
| Price | 23.50 | |
| S1 | 23.46 | -0.170% |
| S2 | 22.95 | -2.34% |
| S3 | 22.30 | -5.11% |
FXNC Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nov 12, 2025 | Nov 28, 2025 | Dec 12, 2025 | $0.170 | 0.723% |
| 2 | Aug 13, 2025 | Aug 29, 2025 | Sep 12, 2025 | $0.155 | 0.698% |
| 3 | May 30, 2025 | May 30, 2025 | Jun 13, 2025 | $0.155 | 0.736% |
| 4 | Feb 12, 2025 | Feb 28, 2025 | Mar 14, 2025 | $0.155 | 0.697% |
| 5 | Nov 13, 2024 | Nov 29, 2024 | Dec 13, 2024 | $0.155 | 0.611% |
FAQ
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