First Trust Materials Alphadex Fund ETF Forecast

Sell candidate since Jun 23, 2026

The First Trust Materials AlphaDEX Fund ETF price fell by -2.45% on the last day (Tuesday, 23rd Jun 2026) from $82.41 to $80.39. It has now fallen 5 days in a row. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.41% from a day low at $80.28 to a day high of $81.41. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -0.64% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -176 thousand shares and in total, 42 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $3.37 million.

The ETF lies in the lower part of a weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $79.60 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 9.47% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $87.14 and $93.51 at the end of this 3-month period.

FXZ Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The First Trust Materials AlphaDEX Fund ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $83.18 and $81.60. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, June 15, 2026, and so far it has fallen -5.23%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Monday, November 24, 2025 in the long-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Trust Materials AlphaDEX Fund ETF

First Trust Materials AlphaDEX Fund finds support from accumulated volume at $79.72 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $1.13 between high and low, or 1.41%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.59%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (FXZ) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 24th

For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 24th we expect First Trust Materials AlphaDEX Fund to open at $80.69, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $79.60 and $81.18, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.59 (+/-1.99%) up or down from last closing price. If First Trust Materials AlphaDEX Fund takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.99% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $79.72 (0.83%) than the resistance at $82.37 (2.46%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is First Trust Materials AlphaDEX Fund ETF A Buy?

The First Trust Materials AlphaDEX Fund ETF holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe First Trust Materials AlphaDEX Fund will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.

Current score: -4.255 Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 24, 2026 - $80.69 ( 0.377%).

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