First Trust Materials Alphadex Fund ETF Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jul 06, 2026 Loss -2.89%

The First Trust Materials AlphaDEX Fund ETF price fell by -1.03% on the last day (Monday, 13th Jul 2026) from $77.45 to $76.65. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.99% from a day low at $76.23 to a day high of $77.75. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -4.72% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -11 thousand shares and in total, 25 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.93 million.

The ETF is at the lower part of a wide and horizontal trend in the short term, and normally this may pose a good buying opportunity, though a breakdown through the bottom trend line at $76.23 will give a strong sell signal and a trend shift may be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect First Trust Materials AlphaDEX Fund ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $76.18 and $84.77 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

FXZ Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, July 08, 2026, and so far it has risen 0.551%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The First Trust Materials AlphaDEX Fund ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $77.47 and $80.99. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Monday, November 24, 2025 in the long-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Trust Materials AlphaDEX Fund ETF

First Trust Materials AlphaDEX Fund finds support from accumulated volume at $76.23 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This ETF has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the ETF moved $1.52 between high and low, or 1.99%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.70%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $71.84 (-6.27%) (This ETF has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 3 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (FXZ) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 14th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 14th we expect First Trust Materials AlphaDEX Fund to open at $76.88, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $75.92 and $77.38, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.46 (+/-1.92%) up or down from last closing price. If First Trust Materials AlphaDEX Fund takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.92% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $76.23 (0.55%) than the resistance at $82.37 (7.46%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is First Trust Materials AlphaDEX Fund ETF A Buy?

First Trust Materials AlphaDEX Fund holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Current score: -0.157 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 14, 2026 - $76.88 ( 0.296%).

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