First Trust Materials Alphadex Fund ETF Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since May 22, 2026 Gain 4.82%

The First Trust Materials AlphaDEX Fund ETF price fell by -0.404% on the last day (Wednesday, 3rd Jun 2026) from $84.09 to $83.75. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.21% from a day low at $83.71 to a day high of $84.72. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 8.96% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 30 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 81 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $6.75 million.

The ETF lies in the upper part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $85.10 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 11.92% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $86.07 and $95.25 at the end of this 3-month period.

FXZ Signals & Forecast

The First Trust Materials AlphaDEX Fund ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $83.02 and $80.48. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, June 02, 2026, and so far it has fallen -0.404%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Monday, November 24, 2025 in the long-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Trust Materials AlphaDEX Fund ETF

First Trust Materials AlphaDEX Fund finds support from accumulated volume at $82.55 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This ETF is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the ETF moved $1.01 (1.21%) between high and low. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.36%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $81.23 (-3.01%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)

Trading Expectations (FXZ) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 4th

For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 4th we expect First Trust Materials AlphaDEX Fund to open at $84.06, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $83.08 and $84.42, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.34 (+/-1.61%) up or down from last closing price. If First Trust Materials AlphaDEX Fund takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.61% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $84.09 (0.41%) than the support at $82.55 (1.43%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is First Trust Materials AlphaDEX Fund ETF A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for First Trust Materials AlphaDEX Fund ETF to perform well in the short-term.

Current score: 3.417 Buy Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 4, 2026 - $84.06 ( 0.370%).

Want to trade but not sure how? Our step-by-step guide can help.
Skip the guide? Open account with our trusted broker*
*Your capital is at risk