First Trust Small Cap Value Alphadex Fund ETF Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jun 04, 2026 Gain 3.00%

The First Trust Small Cap Value AlphaDEX ETF price gained 1.37% on the last trading day (Thursday, 11th Jun 2026), rising from $67.40 to $68.32. It has now gained 4 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.30% from a day low at $67.44 to a day high of $68.32. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 3.09% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 4 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 7 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $461.63 thousand.

The ETF lies in the middle of a weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 9.73% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $71.46 and $76.86 at the end of this 3-month period.

FYT Signals & Forecast

The First Trust Small Cap Value AlphaDEX ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $66.74 and $65.95. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, May 15, 2026, and so far it has risen 7.84%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). First Trust Small Cap Value AlphaDEX has increased volume and follows the last lift in the price. This is considered to be a technical positive sign as volume should follow the price-formation. Higher liquidity also reduces the general risk. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Monday, November 24, 2025 in the long-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Trust Small Cap Value AlphaDEX ETF

First Trust Small Cap Value AlphaDEX finds support from accumulated volume at $66.55 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.88 between high and low, or 1.30%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.10%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $64.76 (-5.21%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 18 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (FYT) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 12th

For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 12th we expect First Trust Small Cap Value AlphaDEX Fund to open at $68.03, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $67.94 and $68.70, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.762 (+/-1.12%) up or down from last closing price. If First Trust Small Cap Value AlphaDEX Fund takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.12% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $66.55, some $1.77 (2.59%) from the current price of $68.32, our system finds the risk reward attractive.

Is First Trust Small Cap Value AlphaDEX Fund ETF A Buy?

First Trust Small Cap Value AlphaDEX holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.

Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 12, 2026 - $68.03 ( 0.429%).

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