First Trust Small Cap Value Alphadex Fund ETF Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jun 04, 2026 Gain 5.82%

The First Trust Small Cap Value AlphaDEX ETF price gained 0.554% on the last trading day (Monday, 13th Jul 2026), rising from $69.81 to $70.19. It has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.406% from a day low at $70.12 to a day high of $70.40. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 0.19% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -573 shares and in total, 4 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $257.40 thousand. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The ETF lies in the upper part of a weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $70.70 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 6.49% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $70.32 and $75.28 at the end of this 3-month period.

FYT Signals & Forecast

The First Trust Small Cap Value AlphaDEX ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $69.76 and $67.85. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, July 02, 2026, and so far it has fallen -0.114%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may also not. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Monday, November 24, 2025 in the long-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Trust Small Cap Value AlphaDEX ETF

On the downside, the ETF finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $66.55 and $65.37. There is a natural risk involved when a ETF is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the ETF then may fall to the next support level. In this case, First Trust Small Cap Value AlphaDEX finds support just below today's level at $66.55. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $65.37 and $64.97.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the ETF During the last day, the ETF moved $0.285 between high and low, or 0.406%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.665%

Our recommended stop-loss: $68.02 (-3.09%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 6 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (FYT) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 14th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 14th we expect First Trust Small Cap Value AlphaDEX Fund to open at $70.24, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $69.81 and $70.58, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.775 (+/-1.11%) up or down from last closing price. If First Trust Small Cap Value AlphaDEX Fund takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.11% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $70.27 (0.11%) than the support at $66.55 (5.20%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is First Trust Small Cap Value AlphaDEX Fund ETF A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for First Trust Small Cap Value AlphaDEX ETF to perform well in the short-term.

Current score: 2.447 Buy Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 14, 2026 - $70.24 ( 0.0611%).

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