Grayscale Stellar Lumens Trust Xlm Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Sep 18, 2025 Loss -45.57%

The Grayscale Stellar Lumens Trust XlM stock price fell by -10.04% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $23.90 to $21.50. It has now fallen 5 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 10.16% from a day low at $21.45 to a day high of $23.63. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -17.62% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 6 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 8 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $161.44 thousand.

The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -40.91% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $10.19 and $16.45 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

GXLM Signals & Forecast

Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Grayscale Stellar Lumens Trust XlM stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $25.85 and $29.44. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, October 02, 2025, and so far it has fallen -41.80%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Grayscale Stellar Lumens Trust XlM gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Grayscale Stellar Lumens Trust XlM stock

There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.

This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $2.18 between high and low, or 10.16%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 6.70%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (GXLM) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Grayscale Stellar Lumens Trust XlM to open at $22.19, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $20.55 and $22.45, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.90 (+/-9.26%) up or down from last closing price. If Grayscale Stellar Lumens Trust XlM takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 9.26% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $25.64, some $4.14 (19.26%) from the current price of $21.50, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.

Is Grayscale Stellar Lumens Trust XlM stock A Buy?

Grayscale Stellar Lumens Trust XlM holds several negative signals and is within a very wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Current score: -6.900 Strong Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $22.19 ( 3.22%).

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