Harley-Davidson Inc Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Harley-Davidson Inc stock price up 0.0571% on Friday
(Updated on May 03, 2024)
The Harley-Davidson Inc stock price gained 0.0571% on the last trading day (Friday, 3rd May 2024), rising from $35.03 to $35.05. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.66% from a day low at $34.97 to a day high of $35.90. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -7.86% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 278 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $49.21 million.
The stock lies in the lower part of a very wide and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $33.42 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 4.47% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $34.91 and $46.88 at the end of this 3-month period.
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HOG Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, April 25, 2024, and so far it has risen 5.48%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Harley-Davidson Inc stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $40.00. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $34.58. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Harley-Davidson Inc stock
Harley-Davidson Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $34.91 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.93 between high and low, or 2.66%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.60%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (HOG) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect Harley-Davidson Inc to open at $35.31, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $33.58 and $36.52, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.47 (+/-4.20%) up or down from last closing price. If Harley-Davidson Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 8.40% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $34.91 (0.40%) than the resistance at $36.34 (3.68%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Harley-Davidson Inc stock A Buy?
Harley-Davidson Inc holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -2.016 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Harley-Davidson Inc of Monday, May 6, 2024
| Fair opening price May 6, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $35.31 ( 0.732%) | $35.05 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for HOG
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 36.24 | 3.39 % | |
| R2 | 35.88 | 2.37 % | ||
| R1 | 35.66 | 1.75 % | ||
| Current price: | 35.05 | |||
| Support | S1 | 34.95 | -0.281 % | |
| S2 | 34.73 | -0.91 % | ||
| S3 | 34.38 | -1.92 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 42.09 | 20.09 % | |
| R2 | 39.32 | 12.18 % | ||
| R1 | 36.34 | 3.68 % | ||
| Current price | 35.05 | |||
| Support | S1 | 34.91 | -0.399% | |
| S2 | 34.75 | -0.86% | ||
| S3 | 33.23 | -5.19% |
HOG Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feb 16, 2024 | Mar 04, 2024 | Mar 20, 2024 | $0.173 | 0.405% |
| 2 | Feb 16, 2024 | Mar 01, 2024 | Mar 20, 2024 | $0.173 | 0.405% |
| 3 | Nov 27, 2023 | Dec 11, 2023 | Dec 27, 2023 | $0.165 | 0.444% |
| 4 | Nov 27, 2023 | Dec 08, 2023 | Dec 27, 2023 | $0.165 | 0.444% |
| 5 | Aug 29, 2023 | Sep 12, 2023 | Sep 27, 2023 | $0.165 | 0.509% |
FAQ
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