Imperial Oil Limited (USA) Stock Forecast
About Chart
Golden Star
The Golden Star is a refined bullish signal based on the Golden Cross, developed by Jim Stromberg, incorporating additional time frame-specific moving averages and precise price line crossings. This signal is effective for liquid stocks, highlighting short-term upward momentum.
Death Star
The Death Star, developed by Jim Stromberg, is the bearish counterpart to the Golden Star, serving as a sell signal. It is triggered by specific moving average crossings on the price line, indicating a likely prolonged decline in the stock.
Golden Cross
The Golden Cross is a bullish signal where the short-term moving average crosses above the long-term moving average, indicating potential upward momentum.
Death Cross
The Death Cross is a bearish signal where the short-term moving average crosses below the long-term moving average, indicating potential downward momentum.
Pivot Bottom
A Pivot Bottom is a significant low point identified by algorithms developed by StockInvest.us. While it may indicate a short-term directional change, it does not necessarily imply a complete trend reversal. Pivot Bottoms are marked as green circles on the price line.
Pivot Top
A Pivot Top represents a significant high point identified by algorithms developed by StockInvest.us. Similar to Pivot Bottoms, it may suggest a short-term directional change within the main trend, rather than a full trend reversal. Pivot Tops are marked as red circles on the price line.
RSI Oversold
RSI oversold indicates that a stock has declined significantly and may be undervalued, potentially presenting a buying opportunity. This condition is marked by a green line on the chart but should be confirmed with other indicators before taking action.
RSI Overbought
RSI overbought suggests that a stock has risen rapidly and may be due for a pullback. It is marked by a red line on the chart, signaling increased risk. This doesn’t necessarily mean it’s time to sell, but it’s important to monitor closely.
Accumulated Volume
The bars indicate how much stock has been traded on each price during the chart period.
Buy Signal (MA)
Buy signal from moving average indicating potential upward movement.
Sell Signal (MA)
Sell signal from moving average indicating potential downward movement.
Stock Analysis |
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Risk Assessment |
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Trading Strategy |
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Stronger technical forecast for Imperial Oil Limited (USA) stock price after Tuesday trading
(Updated on Oct 08, 2024)
Buy or Hold candidate since Sep 27, 2024
Gain 9.96%
The Imperial Oil Limited (USA) stock price fell by -2.42% on the last day (Tuesday, 8th Oct 2024) from $79.21 to $77.29. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.09% from a day low at $75.67 to a day high of $78.76. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 8.1% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 92 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 592 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $45.79 million.
The stock lies in the upper part of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $79.24 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 2.55% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $68.01 and $81.26 at the end of this 3-month period.
IMO Signals & Forecast
The Imperial Oil Limited (USA) stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $75.39 and $71.76. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, October 07, 2024, and so far it has fallen -2.42%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Imperial Oil Limited (USA) stock
Imperial Oil Limited (USA) finds support from accumulated volume at $76.11 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $3.10 between high and low, or 4.09%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.05%.
The Imperial Oil Limited (USA) stock is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some stock may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs.
Our recommended stop-loss: $74.66 (-3.40%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 76 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (IMO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 9th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 9th we expect Imperial Oil Limited (USA) to open at $77.24, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $75.31 and $79.27, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.98 (+/-2.56%) up or down from last closing price. If Imperial Oil Limited (USA) takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.13% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $76.11 (1.53%) than the resistance at $79.21 (2.48%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Imperial Oil Limited (USA) stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Imperial Oil Limited (USA) stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 3.376 Buy Candidate Upgraded
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Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on October 9, 2024 - $77.24 ( 0.0668%). The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.Trading levels for IMO
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 80.33 | 3.94% |
R2 | 79.15 | 2.41% |
R1 | 78.42 | 1.46% |
Price | 77.29 | |
S1 | 76.06 | -1.60% |
S2 | 75.33 | -2.54% |
S3 | 74.14 | -4.07% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 0 | - |
R2 | 0 | - |
R1 | 79.21 | 2.48% |
Price | 77.29 | |
S1 | 76.11 | -1.53% |
S2 | 68.19 | -11.77% |
S3 | 68.00 | -12.02% |
IMO Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Aug 02, 2024 | Sep 04, 2024 | Oct 01, 2024 | $0.440 | 0.598% |
2 | Apr 26, 2024 | Jun 03, 2024 | Jul 01, 2024 | $0.87 | 1.29% |
3 | Feb 02, 2024 | Mar 01, 2024 | Apr 01, 2024 | $0.448 | 0.641% |
4 | Oct 27, 2023 | Nov 30, 2023 | Jan 01, 2024 | $0.360 | 0.629% |
5 | Jul 28, 2023 | Aug 31, 2023 | Oct 01, 2023 | $0.370 | 0.601% |
FAQ
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