James River Group Holdings Stock Forecast

Buy candidate since Nov 11, 2025 Loss -1.07%

The James River Group Holdings stock price fell by -0.718% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $5.57 to $5.53. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.48% from a day low at $5.46 to a day high of $5.65. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 6.96% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 31 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 233 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.29 million.

The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -4.26% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $4.69 and $5.66 at the end of this 3-month period.

JRVR Signals & Forecast

The James River Group Holdings stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $5.54. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $5.40. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, November 06, 2025, and so far it has risen 4.14%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. James River Group Holdings gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for James River Group Holdings stock

James River Group Holdings finds support from accumulated volume at $5.41 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.190 between high and low, or 3.48%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.46%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $5.32 (-3.76%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 7 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (JRVR) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect James River Group Holdings to open at $5.55, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $5.42 and $5.64, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.226 (+/-4.17%) up or down from last closing price. If James River Group Holdings takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.17% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $5.55 (0.36%) than the support at $5.41 (2.17%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Dividend Warning For JRVR

Dividend coming up for JRVR: Ex-dividend date (Monday 15th December, 2025) is 26 days away. The dividend is $0.0100.

Is James River Group Holdings stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals are positive, despite the stock being in a falling trend, we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for stock to perform well in the short-term.

Current score: 1.242 Buy Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $5.55 ( 0.301%).

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