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Weaker technical forecast for Komatsu Ltd as stock downgraded to Hold/Accumulate
(Updated on Nov 17, 2025)
The Komatsu Ltd stock price fell by -1.71% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $33.94 to $33.36. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.17% from a day low at $33.23 to a day high of $33.95. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -0.09% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -8 thousand shares and in total, 13 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $446.29 thousand.
The stock is at the lower part of a wide and horizontal trend in the short term, and normally this may pose a good buying opportunity, though a breakdown through the bottom trend line at $32.90 will give a strong sell signal and a trend shift may be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Komatsu Ltd stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $33.02 and $38.42 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stock seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stock turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
KMTUY Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, November 04, 2025, and so far it has risen 1.46%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Komatsu Ltd stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $33.76 and $34.94. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day, which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Komatsu Ltd stock
Komatsu Ltd finds support from accumulated volume at $32.88 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day, but be aware of low or falling volume as this increases the risk. During the last day, the stock moved $0.720 between high and low, or 2.17%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.54%.
Komatsu Ltd is oversold on RSI14 (19). Some stock may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: $31.26 (-6.30%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. Low RSI14 is 19 which reduces the risk some. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 9 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (KMTUY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Komatsu Ltd to open at $33.51, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $32.96 and $33.76, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.793 (+/-2.41%) up or down from last closing price. If Komatsu Ltd takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.41% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $33.72 (1.08%) than the support at $32.88 (1.44%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Komatsu Ltd stock A Buy?
Komatsu Ltd holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.
Current score:
-0.922
Hold/Accumulate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $33.51 ( 0.460%).
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KMTUY Performance
Trading levels for KMTUY
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 34.23 | 2.62% |
| R2 | 33.96 | 1.79% |
| R1 | 33.79 | 1.28% |
| Price | 33.36 | |
| S1 | 33.24 | -0.365% |
| S2 | 33.07 | -0.87% |
| S3 | 32.79 | -1.70% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 34.95 | 4.77% |
| R2 | 33.73 | 1.11% |
| R1 | 33.72 | 1.08% |
| Price | 33.36 | |
| S1 | 32.88 | -1.44% |
| S2 | 0 | - |
| S3 | 0 | - |
KMTUY Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 30, 2025 | Sep 30, 2025 | Sep 30, 2025 | $0.619 | 1.79% |
| 2 | Mar 31, 2025 | Mar 31, 2025 | Jun 30, 2025 | $0.652 | 1.99% |
| 3 | Sep 30, 2024 | Sep 30, 2024 | Dec 12, 2024 | $0.420 | 1.51% |
| 4 | Mar 27, 2024 | Mar 27, 2024 | Jul 03, 2024 | $0.455 | 1.49% |
| 5 | Sep 28, 2023 | Sep 28, 2023 | Dec 11, 2023 | $0.369 | 1.48% |
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