Littelfuse Stock Forecast
Littelfuse stock downgraded from Sell Candidate to Strong Sell Candidate after Wednesday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 17, 2024)
The Littelfuse stock price fell by -1.73% on the last day (Wednesday, 17th Apr 2024) from $229.93 to $225.95. It has now fallen 4 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.29% from a day low at $225.95 to a day high of $233.38. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -5.6% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 71 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 148 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $33.43 million.
The stock has broken the falling short-term trend down. Firstly a stronger fallrate is indicated, but false breaks and "sell-off" may occur. However, a further fall is realistic and any reactions back to the breaking point ($226.22) are considered to be a "second chance" to get out. According to the fan-theory $210.98 will represent the new bottom line of the next trend, but it is far too early to say this for certain.
LFUS Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Littelfuse stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $233.06 and $235.11. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, April 11, 2024, and so far it has fallen -5.44%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
A sell signal from a double top formation was found on Friday, February 16, 2024 with a target of $238.74. Despite whether the objective of the signal formation has been reached the stock may continue to fall.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Littelfuse stock
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $7.43 between high and low, or 3.29%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.68%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (LFUS) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 18th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 18th we expect Littelfuse to open at $228.43, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $220.42 and $231.48, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$5.53 (+/-2.45%) up or down from last closing price. If Littelfuse takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.89% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $231.70, some $5.75 (2.54%) from the current price of $225.95, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Is Littelfuse stock A Buy?
Littelfuse holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Strong Sell candidate.
Current score: -5.422 Strong Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Littelfuse of Thursday, April 18, 2024
| Fair opening price April 18, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $228.43 ( 1.10%) | $225.95 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for LFUS
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 235.86 | 4.38 % | |
| R2 | 233.02 | 3.13 % | ||
| R1 | 231.26 | 2.35 % | ||
| Current price: | 225.95 | |||
| Support | S1 | 225.59 | -0.160 % | |
| S2 | 223.83 | -0.94 % | ||
| S3 | 221.00 | -2.19 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 241.90 | 7.06 % | |
| R2 | 241.10 | 6.71 % | ||
| R1 | 231.70 | 2.54 % | ||
| Current price | 225.95 | |||
| Support | S1 | 0 | . | |
| S2 | 0 | . | ||
| S3 | 0 | . |
LFUS Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jan 30, 2024 | Feb 21, 2024 | Mar 07, 2024 | $0.650 | 0.270% |
| 2 | Oct 31, 2023 | Nov 21, 2023 | Dec 07, 2023 | $0.650 | 0.270% |
| 3 | Jul 27, 2023 | Aug 23, 2023 | Sep 07, 2023 | $0.650 | 0.257% |
| 4 | Apr 26, 2023 | May 24, 2023 | Jun 08, 2023 | $0.600 | 0.223% |
| 5 | Jan 26, 2023 | Feb 22, 2023 | Mar 09, 2023 | $0.600 | 0.227% |
FAQ
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