First Trust Low Duration Mortgage Opportunities Etf ETF Forecast

Buy candidate since Nov 17, 2025

The First Trust Low Duration Mortgage ETF price gained 0.0300% on the last trading day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025), rising from $49.96 to $49.97. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.100% from a day low at $49.96 to a day high of $50.01. The price has risen in 5 of the last 10 days and is up by 0.09% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -108 thousand shares and in total, 331 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $16.56 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The ETF is moving within a narrow and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect First Trust Low Duration Mortgage ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $50.29 and $50.80 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETF seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETF turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

LMBS Signals & Forecast

A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, October 17, 2025, and so far it has fallen -0.379%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some positive signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The First Trust Low Duration Mortgage ETF holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the ETF giving a positive forecast for the ETF. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $49.99. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $49.97. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, June 10, 2025 in the long-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Trust Low Duration Mortgage ETF

First Trust Low Duration Mortgage finds support from accumulated volume at $49.97 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.0500 between high and low, or 0.100%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.494%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $47.41 (-5.12%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 21 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (LMBS) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect First Trust Low Duration Mortgage Opportunities ETF to open at $49.98, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $49.89 and $50.05, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.159 (+/-0.32%) up or down from last closing price. If First Trust Low Duration Mortgage Opportunities ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.32% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $49.97 (0.01%) than the resistance at $49.99 (0.03%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is First Trust Low Duration Mortgage Opportunities ETF ETF A Buy?

Several of the signals/indicators are negative, and we believe that this will affect on the development for the next days and maybe possible weeks. However, over time, we think that today's level holds a possible buying opportunity and that the price will be higher during or at the end of this 3-month period. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Buy candidate.

Current score: 1.090 Buy Candidate Upgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $49.98 ( 0.0200%).

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