Macerich Company (The) Stock Forecast
Weaker technical forecast for Macerich Company (The) as stock downgraded to Sell Candidate.
(Updated on Apr 24, 2024)
The Macerich Company (The) stock price fell by -3.10% on the last day (Wednesday, 24th Apr 2024) from $16.14 to $15.64. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.53% from a day low at $15.56 to a day high of $16.11. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -0.82% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -118 thousand shares and in total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $19.57 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -4.21% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $14.48 and $16.30 at the end of this 3-month period.
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MAC Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, April 18, 2024, and so far it has risen 3.10%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Macerich Company (The) stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $16.22. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $15.58. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Macerich Company (The) stock
Macerich Company (The) finds support from accumulated volume at $15.48 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.550 between high and low, or 3.53%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.36%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (MAC) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 25th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 25th we expect Macerich Company (The) to open at $15.77, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $15.12 and $16.16, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.525 (+/-3.36%) up or down from last closing price. If Macerich Company (The) takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.71% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $15.48 (1.02%) than the resistance at $16.22 (3.71%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Earnings coming up
Macerich Company (The) will release earnings BMO on Tuesday, April 30, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $0.390. We will update the financials statements for Macerich Company (The), that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 6.75% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Macerich Company (The) stock A Buy?
Macerich Company (The) holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -2.266 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Macerich Company (The) of Thursday, April 25, 2024
| Fair opening price April 25, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $15.77 ( 0.83%) | $15.64 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for MAC
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 16.32 | 4.35 % | |
| R2 | 16.11 | 3.00 % | ||
| R1 | 15.98 | 2.17 % | ||
| Current price: | 15.64 | |||
| Support | S1 | 15.56 | -0.512 % | |
| S2 | 15.43 | -1.34 % | ||
| S3 | 15.22 | -2.69 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 16.96 | 8.44 % | |
| R2 | 16.61 | 6.20 % | ||
| R1 | 16.22 | 3.71 % | ||
| Current price | 15.64 | |||
| Support | S1 | 15.48 | -1.02% | |
| S2 | 15.37 | -1.73% | ||
| S3 | 15.17 | -3.01% |
MAC Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feb 02, 2024 | Feb 15, 2024 | Mar 04, 2024 | $0.170 | 1.02% |
| 2 | Oct 27, 2023 | Nov 08, 2023 | Dec 01, 2023 | $0.170 | 1.40% |
| 3 | Aug 04, 2023 | Aug 17, 2023 | Sep 08, 2023 | $0.170 | 1.45% |
| 4 | Apr 28, 2023 | May 18, 2023 | Jun 02, 2023 | $0.170 | 1.67% |
| 5 | Jan 27, 2023 | Feb 16, 2023 | Jun 02, 2023 | $0.170 | 1.67% |
FAQ
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