Mercury General Corporation Stock Forecast
Weaker technical forecast for Mercury General Corporation as stock downgraded to Hold/Accumulate.
(Updated on Apr 17, 2024)
The Mercury General Corporation stock price fell by -2.51% on the last day (Wednesday, 17th Apr 2024) from $53.37 to $52.03. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.86% from a day low at $51.57 to a day high of $54.59. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -1.1% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -2 thousand shares and in total, 268 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $13.92 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 34.20% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $66.04 and $71.92 at the end of this 3-month period.
MCY Signals & Forecast
The Mercury General Corporation stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $51.68 and $49.69. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has fallen -2.51%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Mercury General Corporation stock
Mercury General Corporation finds support from accumulated volume at $50.77 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $3.02 between high and low, or 5.86%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.18%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $49.46 (-4.93%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (MCY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 18th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 18th we expect Mercury General Corporation to open at $52.73, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $50.50 and $53.56, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.53 (+/-2.94%) up or down from last closing price. If Mercury General Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.89% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $52.57 (1.04%) than the support at $50.77 (2.42%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Mercury General Corporation stock A Buy?
Mercury General Corporation holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Strong Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.697 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Mercury General Corporation of Thursday, April 18, 2024
| Fair opening price April 18, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $52.73 ( 1.35%) | $52.03 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for MCY
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 55.75 | 7.15 % | |
| R2 | 54.60 | 4.93 % | ||
| R1 | 53.88 | 3.56 % | ||
| Current price: | 52.03 | |||
| Support | S1 | 51.58 | -0.87 % | |
| S2 | 50.86 | -2.24 % | ||
| S3 | 49.71 | -4.46 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 53.37 | 2.58 % | |
| R2 | 52.85 | 1.58 % | ||
| R1 | 52.57 | 1.04 % | ||
| Current price | 52.03 | |||
| Support | S1 | 50.77 | -2.42% | |
| S2 | 50.67 | -2.61% | ||
| S3 | 46.18 | -11.24% |
MCY Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 12, 2024 | Mar 12, 2024 | Mar 27, 2024 | $0.318 | 0.612% |
| 2 | Oct 31, 2023 | Dec 13, 2023 | Dec 28, 2023 | $0.320 | 0.85% |
| 3 | Aug 01, 2023 | Sep 13, 2023 | Sep 28, 2023 | $0.318 | 1.11% |
| 4 | May 02, 2023 | Jun 14, 2023 | Jun 29, 2023 | $0.318 | 1.04% |
| 5 | Feb 14, 2023 | Mar 14, 2023 | Mar 29, 2023 | $0.318 | 1.01% |
FAQ
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