Mercury General Stock Forecast

Buy candidate since Nov 05, 2025 Gain 8.24%

The Mercury General Corporation stock price gained 0.454% on the last trading day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025), rising from $88.09 to $88.49. It has now gained 10 days in a row. It is not often that stock manage to gain so many days in a row, and falls for a day or two should be expected. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.35% from a day low at $88.22 to a day high of $89.41. The price has risen in 10 of the last 10 days and is up by 16.08% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 28 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 186 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $16.50 million.

The stock lies in the upper part of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $90.51 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 8.90% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $84.27 and $98.57 at the end of this 3-month period.

MCY Signals & Forecast

Mostly positive signals in the chart today. The Mercury General Corporation stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $86.82 and $82.02. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, November 03, 2025, and so far it has risen 16.08%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Mercury General Corporation stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $82.09 and $81.75. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Mercury General Corporation finds support just below today's level at $82.09. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $81.75 and $77.02.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $1.19 between high and low, or 1.35%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.93%.

The Mercury General Corporation stock is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some stock may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs. Since the Mercury General Corporation has been rising for 10 days in a row, the risk over the next couple of days has increased. We don't expect a major reaction as the stock is in very good shape technically, and therefore hold a positive evaluation despite the very short term risk.

Our recommended stop-loss: $85.68 (-3.18%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 91 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 10 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (MCY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Mercury General Corporation to open at $88.71, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $87.43 and $89.55, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.12 (+/-2.43%) up or down from last closing price. If Mercury General Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.43% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $82.09, some $6.40 (7.23%) from the current price of $88.49, our system finds the risk reward attractive.

Dividend Warning For MCY

Dividend coming up for MCY: Ex-dividend date (Wednesday 10th December, 2025) is 21 days away. The dividend is $0.320.

Is Mercury General Corporation stock A Buy?

Mercury General Corporation holds several positive signals and is within a weak rising trend. As the old saying says, "Let the trend be your friend.'". We therefore consider it to be a good choice at these current levels and we are expecting further gains during the next 3 months.

Current score: 6.360 Strong Buy Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $88.71 ( 0.245%).

Want to trade but not sure how? Our step-by-step guide can help.
Skip the guide? Open account with our trusted broker*
*Your capital is at risk