Spdr S&p Midcap 400 Etf ETF Forecast

Sell candidate since Jul 29, 2026 Gain 0.76%

The SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 ETF price fell by -0.127% on the last day (Friday, 31st Jul 2026) from $687.19 to $686.32. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.61% from a day low at $680.68 to a day high of $691.65. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.35% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 95 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 549 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $377.03 million.

The ETF lies in the middle of a weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 3.91% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $700.43 and $740.87 at the end of this 3-month period.

MDY Signals & Forecast

Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $688.45 and $690.92. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, June 30, 2026, and so far it has fallen -2.42%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 ETF

SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 finds support from accumulated volume at $685.87 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $10.97 between high and low, or 1.61%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.35%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (MDY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 ETF to open at $686.22, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $681.83 and $690.81, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$8.99 (+/-1.32%) up or down from last closing price. If SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.32% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $685.87 (0.07%) than the resistance at $688.85 (0.37%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 ETF ETF A Buy?

The SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 ETF holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this ETF.

Current score: -1.163 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 3, 2026 - $686.22 ( 0.0153%).

Want to trade but not sure how? Our step-by-step guide can help.
Skip the guide? Open account with our trusted broker*
*Your capital is at risk