Vanguard Mega Cap Index Fund ETF Forecast

Sell candidate since Nov 17, 2025

The Vanguard Mega Cap Index Fund ETF price fell by -0.792% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $247.43 to $245.47. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.73% from a day low at $244.14 to a day high of $248.36. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -2.65% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -67 thousand shares and in total, 139 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $34.00 million.

Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 7.41% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $263.67 and $276.43 at the end of this 3-month period.

MGC Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Vanguard Mega Cap Index Fund ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $248.81 and $247.28. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, October 29, 2025, and so far it has fallen -3.26%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard Mega Cap Index Fund ETF

Vanguard Mega Cap Index Fund finds support from accumulated volume at $243.95 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $4.22 between high and low, or 1.73%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.37%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (MGC) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Vanguard Mega Cap Index Fund to open at $245.99, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $243.90 and $247.04, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$3.15 (+/-1.29%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard Mega Cap Index Fund takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.29% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $245.55 (0.03%) than the support at $243.95 (0.62%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Vanguard Mega Cap Index Fund ETF A Buy?

The Vanguard Mega Cap Index Fund ETF holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Vanguard Mega Cap Index Fund will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Sell candidate.

Current score: -4.473 Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $245.99 ( 0.212%).

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