Mercury Systems Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since May 27, 2025 Gain 7.90%

The Mercury Systems Inc stock price gained 2.73% on the last trading day (Friday, 13th Jun 2025), rising from $51.57 to $52.98. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.74% from a day low at $51.12 to a day high of $54.06. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 7.57% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 261 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $53.38 million.

The stock lies in the upper part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $54.30 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 14.40% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $53.33 and $62.12 at the end of this 3-month period.

MRCY Signals & Forecast

The Mercury Systems Inc stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $52.62 and $49.29. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, June 09, 2025, and so far it has fallen -1.65%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Mercury Systems Inc stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $47.96 and $44.61. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Mercury Systems Inc finds support just below today's level at $47.96. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $44.61 and $43.62.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $2.94 between high and low, or 5.74%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.36%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $50.84 (-4.05%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 4 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (MRCY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 16th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 16th we expect Mercury Systems Inc to open at $52.72, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $51.33 and $54.63, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.65 (+/-3.11%) up or down from last closing price. If Mercury Systems Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.23% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $53.14 (0.30%) than the support at $47.96 (9.48%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Mercury Systems Inc stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Mercury Systems Inc stock to perform well in the short-term.

Current score: 4.570 Buy Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 16, 2025 - $52.72 ( 0.494%).

Want to trade but not sure how? Our step-by-step guide can help.
Skip the guide? Open account with our trusted broker*