Mercury Systems Inc Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Mercury Systems Inc stock upgraded to Buy Candidate.
(Updated on May 01, 2024)
The Mercury Systems Inc stock price gained 1.63% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 1st May 2024), rising from $28.20 to $28.66. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.26% from a day low at $27.94 to a day high of $29.41. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 4.37% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 22 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 398 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $11.42 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -4.20% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $23.94 and $29.00 at the end of this 3-month period.
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MRCY Signals & Forecast
The Mercury Systems Inc stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $28.53 and $28.44. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, March 26, 2024, and so far it has risen 4.87%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Mercury Systems Inc stock
Mercury Systems Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $27.49 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $1.47 (5.26%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.80%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $27.07 (-5.55%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 25 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (MRCY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 2nd
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 2nd we expect Mercury Systems Inc to open at $28.67, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $27.59 and $29.73, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.07 (+/-3.74%) up or down from last closing price. If Mercury Systems Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 7.48% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $28.75 (0.31%) than the support at $27.49 (4.08%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Earnings coming up
Mercury Systems Inc will release earnings AMC on Tuesday, May 07, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is -$0.150. We will update the financials statements for Mercury Systems Inc, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 3.94% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Mercury Systems Inc stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive, despite the stock being in a falling trend, we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 2.098 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Mercury Systems Inc of Thursday, May 2, 2024
| Fair opening price May 2, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $28.67 ( 0.0349%) | $28.66 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for MRCY
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 30.14 | 5.16 % | |
| R2 | 29.58 | 3.20 % | ||
| R1 | 29.23 | 1.99 % | ||
| Current price: | 28.66 | |||
| Support | S1 | 28.11 | -1.92 % | |
| S2 | 27.76 | -3.13 % | ||
| S3 | 27.20 | -5.09 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 29.57 | 3.18 % | |
| R2 | 29.30 | 2.23 % | ||
| R1 | 28.75 | 0.314 % | ||
| Current price | 28.66 | |||
| Support | S1 | 27.49 | -4.08% | |
| S2 | 26.80 | -6.49% | ||
| S3 | 26.23 | -8.48% |
MRCY Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 13, 2015 | Mar 13, 2015 | Mar 13, 2015 | $0.618 | 3.82% |
FAQ
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