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Evaluation of National Grid PLC stock downgraded after the last trading session
(Updated on Jun 03, 2026)
The National Grid PLC stock price fell by -1.32% on the last day (Wednesday, 3rd Jun 2026) from $16.13 to $15.92. It has now fallen 6 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.302% from a day low at $15.87 to a day high of $15.92. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -5.27% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 525 shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 625 shares were bought and sold for approximately $9.95 thousand.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -4.78% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $14.62 and $17.04 at the end of this 3-month period.
NGGTF Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The National Grid PLC stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $16.72 and $17.04. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, May 26, 2026, and so far it has fallen -9.83%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). National Grid PLC gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for National Grid PLC stock
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $0.0480 (0.302%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.37%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (NGGTF) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 4th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 4th we expect National Grid PLC to open at $15.90, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $15.71 and $16.13, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.413 (+/-2.63%) up or down from last closing price. If National Grid PLC takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.63% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $16.81, some $0.89 (5.56%) from the current price of $15.92, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Is National Grid PLC stock A Buy?
National Grid PLC holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-1.317
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on June 4, 2026 - $15.90 ( 0.101%).
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NGGTF Performance
Trading levels for NGGTF
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 15.95 | 0.201% |
| R2 | 15.93 | 0.0858% |
| R1 | 15.92 | 0.0147% |
| Price | 15.92 | |
| S1 | 15.89 | -0.216% |
| S2 | 15.87 | -0.287% |
| S3 | 15.86 | -0.402% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 17.65 | 10.89% |
| R2 | 17.19 | 7.96% |
| R1 | 16.81 | 5.56% |
| Price | 15.92 | |
| S1 | 0 | - |
| S2 | 0 | - |
| S3 | 0 | - |
NGGTF Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 28, 2026 | May 28, 2026 | Jul 23, 2026 | $0.431 | 2.65% |
| 2 | Nov 20, 2025 | Nov 20, 2025 | Jan 13, 2026 | $0.215 | 1.34% |
| 3 | May 29, 2025 | May 29, 2025 | Jul 17, 2025 | $0.411 | 2.82% |
| 4 | May 23, 2024 | Nov 22, 2024 | Jan 14, 2025 | $0.193 | 1.69% |
| 5 | Nov 21, 2024 | Nov 21, 2024 | Jan 14, 2025 | $0.206 | 1.81% |
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