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National Bankshares stock downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Nov 17, 2025)
The National Bankshares stock price fell by -4.37% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $29.97 to $28.66. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 6.10% from a day low at $28.04 to a day high of $29.75. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -1.75% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 9 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 21 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $609.43 thousand.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -5.06% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $25.49 and $28.66 at the end of this 3-month period.
NKSH Signals & Forecast
Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The National Bankshares stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $29.77 and $29.08. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, November 13, 2025, and so far it has fallen -4.63%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. National Bankshares gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for National Bankshares stock
National Bankshares finds support from accumulated volume at $28.63 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $1.71 between high and low, or 6.10%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.67%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (NKSH) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect National Bankshares to open at $28.82, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $28.25 and $29.07, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.82 (+/-2.91%) up or down from last closing price. If National Bankshares takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.91% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $28.63 (0.10%) than the resistance at $29.81 (4.01%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Dividend Warning For NKSH
Dividend warning for NKSH: Ex-dividend date is approaching in 5 days on Monday 24th November, 2025. The dividend to be paid is $0.780, which is a large dividend (2.72%). The stock is expected to open approximately 2.72% lower on the ex-dividend date.Is National Bankshares stock A Buy?
National Bankshares holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-4.475
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $28.82 ( 0.547%).
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NKSH Performance
Trading levels for NKSH
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 30.53 | 6.51% |
| R2 | 29.87 | 4.23% |
| R1 | 29.47 | 2.83% |
| Price | 28.66 | |
| S1 | 28.16 | -1.73% |
| S2 | 27.76 | -3.14% |
| S3 | 27.11 | -5.42% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 30.52 | 6.49% |
| R2 | 30.05 | 4.85% |
| R1 | 29.81 | 4.01% |
| Price | 28.66 | |
| S1 | 28.63 | -0.105% |
| S2 | 28.01 | -2.27% |
| S3 | 27.66 | -3.49% |
NKSH Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nov 13, 2025 | Nov 24, 2025 | Dec 01, 2025 | $0.780 | 2.72% |
| 2 | May 14, 2025 | May 27, 2025 | Jun 02, 2025 | $0.730 | 2.76% |
| 3 | Nov 13, 2024 | Nov 25, 2024 | Dec 02, 2024 | $0.780 | 2.44% |
| 4 | May 15, 2024 | May 24, 2024 | Jun 03, 2024 | $0.730 | 2.47% |
| 5 | Nov 08, 2023 | Nov 17, 2023 | Dec 01, 2023 | $0.780 | 2.82% |
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