NETGEAR Stock Forecast
NETGEAR stock price down 1.08% on Tuesday
(Updated on Jul 02, 2024)
The NETGEAR stock price fell by -1.08% on the last day (Tuesday, 2nd Jul 2024) from $14.87 to $14.71. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.09% from a day low at $14.55 to a day high of $15.00. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 0.48% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -13 thousand shares and in total, 136 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.00 million.
The stockis at the upper part of a very wide and horizontal trend and normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but a break-up through the top trend line at $15.37 will give a strong buy signal and a trend shift could be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect NETGEAR stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $11.60 and $15.45 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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NTGR Signals & Forecast
The NETGEAR stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $14.84. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $13.94. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, June 12, 2024, and so far it has fallen -4.17%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for NETGEAR stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $13.73 and $11.78. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, NETGEAR finds support just below today's level at $13.73. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $11.78 and $11.63.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.449 between high and low, or 3.09%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.08%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $13.89 (-5.54%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 38 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (NTGR) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 3rd we expect NETGEAR to open at $14.75, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $14.21 and $15.21, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.499 (+/-3.39%) up or down from last closing price. If NETGEAR takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.78% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $14.73 (0.14%) than the support at $13.73 (6.66%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is NETGEAR stock A Buy?
NETGEAR holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score: 0.329 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for NETGEAR of Wednesday, July 3, 2024
| Fair opening price July 3, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $14.75 ( 0.293%) | $14.71 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for NTGR
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 15.20 | 3.35% |
| R2 | 15.03 | 2.18% |
| R1 | 14.92 | 1.46% |
| Price | 14.71 | |
| S1 | 14.58 | -0.87% |
| S2 | 14.48 | -1.59% |
| S3 | 14.30 | -2.76% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 14.91 | 1.36% |
| R2 | 14.85 | 0.95% |
| R1 | 14.73 | 0.136% |
| Price | 14.71 | |
| S1 | 13.73 | -6.66% |
| S2 | 11.78 | -19.92% |
| S3 | 11.63 | -20.94% |
FAQ
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