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Stronger technical forecast for Old National Bancorp stock price after Monday trading
(Updated on Nov 17, 2025)
The Old National Bancorp stock price fell by -4.72% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $20.76 to $19.78. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 6.04% from a day low at $19.61 to a day high of $20.80. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -3.47% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 627 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 3 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $52.17 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -10.48% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $16.78 and $18.94 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
ONB Signals & Forecast
Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Old National Bancorp stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $20.76 and $20.96. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, November 10, 2025, and so far it has fallen -5.94%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Old National Bancorp stock
Old National Bancorp finds support from accumulated volume at $19.60 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $1.19 between high and low, or 6.04%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.93%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (ONB) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Old National Bancorp to open at $20.06, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $19.48 and $20.08, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.601 (+/-3.08%) up or down from last closing price. If Old National Bancorp takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.08% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $19.60 (0.91%) than the resistance at $21.25 (7.43%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Dividend Warning For ONB
Dividend coming up for ONB: Ex-dividend date (Friday 5th December, 2025) is 16 days away. The dividend is $0.140.Is Old National Bancorp stock A Buy?
Old National Bancorp holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Strong Sell to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-3.441
Sell Candidate
Upgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $20.06 ( 1.42%).
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ONB Performance
Trading levels for ONB
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 21.25 | 7.41% |
| R2 | 20.79 | 5.13% |
| R1 | 20.51 | 3.71% |
| Price | 19.78 | |
| S1 | 19.61 | -0.86% |
| S2 | 19.33 | -2.28% |
| S3 | 18.88 | -4.57% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 22.13 | 11.88% |
| R2 | 21.95 | 10.97% |
| R1 | 21.25 | 7.43% |
| Price | 19.78 | |
| S1 | 19.60 | -0.91% |
| S2 | 0 | - |
| S3 | 0 | - |
ONB Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nov 12, 2025 | Dec 05, 2025 | Dec 15, 2025 | $0.140 | 0.674% |
| 2 | Aug 13, 2025 | Sep 05, 2025 | Sep 15, 2025 | $0.140 | 0.650% |
| 3 | May 14, 2025 | Jun 05, 2025 | Jun 16, 2025 | $0.140 | 0.648% |
| 4 | Feb 19, 2025 | Mar 05, 2025 | Mar 17, 2025 | $0.140 | 0.663% |
| 5 | Nov 13, 2024 | Dec 05, 2024 | Dec 16, 2024 | $0.140 | 0.618% |
FAQ
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