Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index Tracking ETF Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Green day on Friday for Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index Tracking
(Updated on Apr 26, 2024)
The Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index Tracking ETF price gained 2.11% on the last trading day (Friday, 26th Apr 2024), rising from $61.49 to $62.79. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.15% from a day low at $62.22 to a day high of $62.93. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -1.43% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 58 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 283 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $17.77 million.
The ETF is moving within a horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index Tracking ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $61.40 and $66.12 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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ONEQ Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, April 19, 2024, and so far it has risen 4.34%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index Tracking ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $63.33. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the short-term average at $61.51. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index Tracking ETF
Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index Tracking finds support from accumulated volume at $62.40 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This ETF is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.713 (1.15%) between high and low. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.55%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $59.76 (-4.82%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 5 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (ONEQ) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index Tracking Stock to open at $62.65, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $61.76 and $63.82, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.03 (+/-1.64%) up or down from last closing price. If Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index Tracking Stock takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.28% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $63.15 (0.57%) than the support at $62.40 (0.62%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index Tracking Stock ETF A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity, as there is a fair chance for Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index Tracking ETF to perform well in the short-term period.
Current score: 2.020 Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index Tracking Stock of Monday, April 29, 2024
| Fair opening price April 29, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $62.65 ( 0.227%) | $62.79 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for ONEQ
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 63.36 | 0.91 % | |
| R2 | 63.09 | 0.475 % | ||
| R1 | 62.92 | 0.207 % | ||
| Current price: | 62.79 | |||
| Support | S1 | 62.38 | -0.660 % | |
| S2 | 62.21 | -0.93 % | ||
| S3 | 61.93 | -1.36 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 64.11 | 2.10 % | |
| R2 | 63.92 | 1.80 % | ||
| R1 | 63.15 | 0.573 % | ||
| Current price | 62.79 | |||
| Support | S1 | 62.40 | -0.621% | |
| S2 | 60.83 | -3.12% | ||
| S3 | 60.18 | -4.16% |
ONEQ Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 15, 2024 | Mar 15, 2024 | Mar 20, 2024 | $0.112 | 0.174% |
| 2 | Dec 28, 2023 | Dec 28, 2023 | Jan 03, 2024 | $0.0160 | 0.0278% |
| 3 | Dec 15, 2023 | Dec 15, 2023 | Dec 20, 2023 | $0.112 | 0.192% |
| 4 | Sep 15, 2023 | Sep 15, 2023 | Sep 20, 2023 | $0.100 | 0.189% |
| 5 | Sep 08, 2023 | Jun 16, 2023 | Jun 22, 2023 | $0.0900 | 0.168% |
FAQ
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