Patria Investments Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Nov 04, 2025 Loss -3.40%

The Patria Investments Limited stock price fell by -1.49% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $14.73 to $14.51. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.71% from a day low at $14.38 to a day high of $14.77. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.48% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -11 thousand shares and in total, 318 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $4.61 million.

The stock lies in the lower part of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $14.37 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 9.44% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $15.72 and $17.65 at the end of this 3-month period.

PAX Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Patria Investments Limited stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $14.86 and $14.58. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, November 05, 2025, and so far it has fallen -4.54%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Patria Investments Limited stock

Patria Investments Limited finds support from accumulated volume at $13.85 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.390 between high and low, or 2.71%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.40%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $13.75 (-5.25%) (This stock has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 8 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (PAX) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Patria Investments Limited to open at $14.55, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $14.30 and $14.72, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.413 (+/-2.88%) up or down from last closing price. If Patria Investments Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.88% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $14.73 (1.52%) than the support at $13.85 (4.55%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Patria Investments Limited stock A Buy?

Patria Investments Limited holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Current score: 0.489 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $14.55 ( 0.299%).

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