Progressive (the) Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since May 21, 2026 Loss -2.77%

The Progressive Corporation (The) stock price fell by -1.71% on the last day (Wednesday, 3rd Jun 2026) from $196.82 to $193.46. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.20% from a day low at $193.00 to a day high of $199.18. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -4.64% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -292 thousand shares and in total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $413.71 million.

The stock lies in the middle of a falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -4.52% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $178.34 and $193.74 at the end of this 3-month period.

PGR Signals & Forecast

There are mixed signals in the stock today. The Progressive Corporation (The) stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $194.79 and $199.33. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, May 29, 2026, and so far it has risen 1.61%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Progressive Corporation (The) stock

Progressive Corporation (The) finds support from accumulated volume at $193.36 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $6.18 between high and low, or 3.20%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.88%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (PGR) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 4th

For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 4th we expect Progressive Corporation (The) to open at $195.21, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $191.13 and $195.79, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$4.67 (+/-2.44%) up or down from last closing price. If Progressive Corporation (The) takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.44% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $193.36 (0.05%) than the resistance at $196.91 (1.78%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Dividend Warning For PGR

Dividend coming up for PGR: Ex-dividend date (Thursday 2nd July, 2026) is 28 days away. The dividend is $0.100.

Is Progressive Corporation (The) stock A Buy?

Progressive Corporation (The) holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Current score: -1.840 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 4, 2026 - $195.21 ( 0.91%).

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