- Lower volatility than the market (beta 0.26)
- Bullish trend confirmed on both short and long timeframes
- Consistently positive technical signals over the last month
Weaker technical forecast for Innovator Nasdaq-100 10 Buffer Etf as ETF downgraded to Hold/Accumulate
(Updated on Jun 23, 2026)
No changes to the price of Innovator Nasdaq-100 10 Buffer Etf ETF on the last trading day (Tuesday, 23rd Jun 2026). During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.163% from a day low at $30.72 to a day high of $30.77. The price has risen in 5 of the last 10 days and is up by 0.26% over the past 2 weeks.
The ETF lies in the middle of a narrow and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 5.05% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $32.06 and $32.88 at the end of this 3-month period.
QBUF Signals & Forecast
The Innovator Nasdaq-100 10 Buffer Etf ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $30.72 and $30.62. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Volume gained on the last day while the price remained unchanged. This is not a classical divergence, but the ETF should be watched more closely at it may be a "turning point". Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, June 22, 2026, and so far it has fallen 0%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, March 31, 2026 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Thursday, April 02, 2026.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Golden Star
The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, March 31, 2026 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Thursday, April 02, 2026.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Golden Star 12 Months
The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, March 31, 2026 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Thursday, April 02, 2026.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Innovator Nasdaq-100 10 Buffer Etf ETF
Innovator Nasdaq-100 10 Buffer Etf finds support from accumulated volume at $30.19 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.0500 between high and low, or 0.163%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.192%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $29.14 (-5.23%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (QBUF) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 24th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 24th we expect Innovator Nasdaq-100 10 Buffer Etf Quarterly to open at $30.75, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $30.71 and $30.78, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0691 (+/-0.22%) up or down from last closing price. If Innovator Nasdaq-100 10 Buffer Etf Quarterly takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.22% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $30.19, some $0.555 (1.81%) from the current price of $30.75, our system finds the risk reward attractive.
Is Innovator Nasdaq-100 10 Buffer Etf Quarterly ETF A Buy?
Innovator Nasdaq-100 10 Buffer Etf holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.
Current score:
0.735
Hold/Accumulate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on June 24, 2026 - $30.75 ( 0%).
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QBUF Performance
Trading levels for QBUF
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 30.80 | 0.163% |
| R2 | 30.78 | 0.101% |
| R1 | 30.76 | 0.0621% |
| Price | 30.75 | |
| S1 | 30.73 | -0.0621% |
| S2 | 30.71 | -0.101% |
| S3 | 30.70 | -0.163% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 0 | - |
| R2 | 0 | - |
| R1 | 0 | - |
| Price | 30.75 | |
| S1 | 30.19 | -1.81% |
| S2 | 29.43 | -4.28% |
| S3 | 29.37 | -4.47% |
FAQ
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