- 19.05% TTM dividend yield
- High gross margin of 93.9%
- Beat earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters
Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, stock price down 2.18% on Wednesday
(Updated on Jul 29, 2026)
The Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, stock price fell by -2.18% on the last day (Wednesday, 29th Jul 2026) from $10.09 to $9.87. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.79% from a day low at $9.85 to a day high of $10.13. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -7.93% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -13 thousand shares and in total, 143 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.41 million.
The stock has broken the falling short-term trend down. Firstly a stronger fallrate is indicated, but false breaks and "sell-off" may occur. However, a further fall is realistic and any reactions back to the breaking point ($10.20) are considered to be a "second chance" to get out. According to the fan-theory $9.57 will represent the new bottom line of the next trend, but it is far too early to say this for certain.
REFI Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $10.12 and $10.78. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, June 26, 2026, and so far it has fallen -13.50%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day, which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, stock
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
This stock has average movements during the day, but be aware of low or falling volume as this increases the risk. During the last day, the stock moved $0.275 between high and low, or 2.79%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.93%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (REFI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 30th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 30th we expect Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. to open at $9.95, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $9.76 and $9.98, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.222 (+/-2.28%) up or down from last closing price. If Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.28% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $10.72, some $0.85 (8.61%) from the current price of $9.87, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Earnings coming up
Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. will release earnings BMO on Thursday, August 06, 2026.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $0.490. We will update the financials statements for Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc., that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 3.30% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. stock A Buy?
Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score:
-3.767
Sell Candidate
Unchanged
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on July 30, 2026 - $9.95 ( 0.794%).
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REFI Performance
Trading levels for REFI
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 10.22 | 3.58% |
| R2 | 10.12 | 2.52% |
| R1 | 10.05 | 1.86% |
| Price | 9.87 | |
| S1 | 9.84 | -0.271% |
| S2 | 9.78 | -0.93% |
| S3 | 9.67 | -1.99% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 11.41 | 15.60% |
| R2 | 10.89 | 10.33% |
| R1 | 10.72 | 8.61% |
| Price | 9.87 | |
| S1 | 0 | - |
| S2 | 0 | - |
| S3 | 0 | - |
REFI Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 30, 2026 | Jun 30, 2026 | Jul 15, 2026 | $0.470 | 4.10% |
| 2 | Mar 13, 2026 | Mar 31, 2026 | Apr 15, 2026 | $0.470 | 3.78% |
| 3 | Dec 19, 2025 | Dec 31, 2025 | Jan 15, 2026 | $0.470 | 3.64% |
| 4 | Sep 15, 2025 | Sep 30, 2025 | Oct 15, 2025 | $0.470 | 3.51% |
| 5 | Jun 13, 2025 | Jun 30, 2025 | Jul 15, 2025 | $0.470 | 3.32% |
FAQ
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Buy REFI
A sell signal from a double top formation was found on Friday, June 26, 2026 with a target of $11.03. Despite whether the objective of the signal formation has been reached the stock may continue to fall.