REGENXBIO Inc. Stock Forecast
A very red day for REGENXBIO Inc. stock price after a -5.00% fall in the Thursday trading session
(Updated on Mar 28, 2024)
The REGENXBIO Inc. stock price fell by -5.00% on the last day (Thursday, 28th Mar 2024) from $22.18 to $21.07. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 7.07% from a day low at $20.94 to a day high of $22.42. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -3.57% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 30 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 487 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $10.26 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 56.40% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $29.41 and $42.79 at the end of this 3-month period.
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RGNX Signals & Forecast
The REGENXBIO Inc. stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $21.90. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $20.42. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, March 05, 2024, and so far it has fallen -14.38%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for REGENXBIO Inc. stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $19.90 and $16.29. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, REGENXBIO Inc. finds support just below today's level at $19.90. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $16.29 and $16.21.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $1.48 between high and low, or 7.07%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.95%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $20.19 (-4.18%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 17 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (RGNX) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 1st
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 1st we expect REGENXBIO Inc. to open at $21.48, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $19.58 and $22.56, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.49 (+/-7.05%) up or down from last closing price. If REGENXBIO Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 14.10% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $19.90 (5.55%) than the resistance at $22.75 (7.97%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is REGENXBIO Inc. stock A Buy?
REGENXBIO Inc. holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.609 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for REGENXBIO Inc. of Monday, April 1, 2024
Fair opening price April 1, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$21.48 ( 1.93%) | $21.07 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for RGNX
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 22.96 | 8.95 % | |
R2 | 22.39 | 6.27 % | ||
R1 | 22.04 | 4.61 % | ||
Current price: | 21.07 | |||
Support | S1 | 20.91 | -0.753 % | |
S2 | 20.56 | -2.41 % | ||
S3 | 20.00 | -5.09 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 24.61 | 16.80 % | |
R2 | 23.23 | 10.25 % | ||
R1 | 22.75 | 7.97 % | ||
Current price | 21.07 | |||
Support | S1 | 19.90 | -5.55% | |
S2 | 16.29 | -22.69% | ||
S3 | 16.21 | -23.07% |
FAQ
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