RLI Corp Stock Forecast
RLI Corp stock downgraded to Hold/Accumulate
(Updated on Apr 25, 2024)
The RLI Corp stock price fell by -0.758% on the last day (Thursday, 25th Apr 2024) from $147.71 to $146.59. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.65% from a day low at $145.15 to a day high of $147.55. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 6% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -72 thousand shares and in total, 142 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $20.80 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 2.31% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $139.17 and $153.93 at the end of this 3-month period.
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RLI Signals & Forecast
The RLI Corp stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the stock has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $142.04 and $144.26. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, April 24, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.758%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Monday, November 20, 2023 in the long-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Golden Star 12 Months
The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Monday, November 20, 2023 in the long-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for RLI Corp stock
RLI Corp finds support from accumulated volume at $146.45 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $2.40 between high and low, or 1.65%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.39%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $140.42 (-4.21%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (RLI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 26th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 26th we expect RLI Corp to open at $146.43, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $143.97 and $149.21, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.62 (+/-1.79%) up or down from last closing price. If RLI Corp takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.57% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $146.62 (0.02%) than the support at $146.45 (0.10%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is RLI Corp stock A Buy?
RLI Corp holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.242 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for RLI Corp of Friday, April 26, 2024
Fair opening price April 26, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$146.43 ( 0.108%) | $146.59 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for RLI
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 148.83 | 1.53 % | |
R2 | 147.91 | 0.90 % | ||
R1 | 147.35 | 0.516 % | ||
Current price: | 146.59 | |||
Support | S1 | 145.52 | -0.733 % | |
S2 | 144.95 | -1.12 % | ||
S3 | 144.03 | -1.74 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 147.71 | 0.764 % | |
R2 | 146.99 | 0.273 % | ||
R1 | 146.62 | 0.0205 % | ||
Current price | 146.59 | |||
Support | S1 | 146.45 | -0.0955% | |
S2 | 145.76 | -0.566% | ||
S3 | 141.55 | -3.44% |
RLI Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Feb 08, 2024 | Feb 28, 2024 | Mar 20, 2024 | $0.270 | 0.186% |
2 | Nov 08, 2023 | Nov 29, 2023 | Dec 20, 2023 | $1.08 | 0.83% |
3 | Aug 10, 2023 | Aug 30, 2023 | Sep 20, 2023 | $0.270 | 0.193% |
4 | May 04, 2023 | May 30, 2023 | Jun 20, 2023 | $0.270 | 0.208% |
5 | Feb 09, 2023 | Feb 27, 2023 | Mar 20, 2023 | $0.260 | 0.201% |
FAQ
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