SAP SE Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
SAP SE stock price down 0.629% on Wednesday
(Updated on May 01, 2024)
The SAP SE stock price fell by -0.629% on the last day (Wednesday, 1st May 2024) from $181.21 to $180.07. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.39% from a day low at $179.15 to a day high of $183.43. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 0.07% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -145 thousand shares and in total, 570 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $102.60 million.
The stock lies in the lower part of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $176.40 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 2.48% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $180.78 and $203.92 at the end of this 3-month period.
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SAP Signals & Forecast
Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The SAP SE stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $184.63 and $187.76. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, April 24, 2024, and so far it has fallen -4.25%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for SAP SE stock
SAP SE finds support from accumulated volume at $178.64 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $4.28 between high and low, or 2.39%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.66%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $170.28 (-5.44%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 5 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (SAP) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 2nd
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 2nd we expect SAP SE to open at $180.88, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $176.32 and $183.82, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$3.75 (+/-2.08%) up or down from last closing price. If SAP SE takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.16% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $178.64 (0.79%) than the resistance at $184.22 (2.30%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is SAP SE stock A Buy?
SAP SE holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score: 0.044 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for SAP SE of Thursday, May 2, 2024
| Fair opening price May 2, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $180.88 ( 0.452%) | $180.07 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for SAP
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 185.16 | 2.83 % | |
| R2 | 183.53 | 1.92 % | ||
| R1 | 182.52 | 1.36 % | ||
| Current price: | 180.07 | |||
| Support | S1 | 179.25 | -0.455 % | |
| S2 | 178.24 | -1.02 % | ||
| S3 | 176.61 | -1.92 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 188.01 | 4.41 % | |
| R2 | 185.09 | 2.79 % | ||
| R1 | 184.22 | 2.30 % | ||
| Current price | 180.07 | |||
| Support | S1 | 178.64 | -0.794% | |
| S2 | 178.18 | -1.05% | ||
| S3 | 175.77 | -2.39% |
SAP Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 16, 2024 | May 16, 2024 | May 16, 2024 | $0 | 0% |
| 2 | Aug 06, 2023 | May 12, 2023 | May 22, 2023 | $2.19 | 1.64% |
| 3 | Apr 14, 2022 | May 19, 2022 | May 22, 2023 | $2.66 | 2.00% |
| 4 | Apr 12, 2021 | May 13, 2021 | May 25, 2021 | $2.19 | 1.55% |
| 5 | Feb 26, 2020 | May 21, 2020 | Jun 02, 2020 | $1.71 | 1.31% |
FAQ
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